NO @ MEM
NBA
FedExForum
·Final
122–128
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 30 | 37 | 22 | 33 | 122 |
| MEM | 27 | 29 | 41 | 31 | 128 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 5 (MEM) / 4 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
MEM
81%
19%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 33 | 27 | 9 | 5 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 17 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan Poole S | 31 | 17 | 0 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones S | 36 | 17 | 9 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 32 | 13 | 7 | 3 |
| Saddiq Bey | 30 | 13 | 6 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Yves Missi S | 23 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Derik Queen | 15 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Hunter Dickinson | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jordan Poole ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Jordan Poole makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jordan Poole
NO
17%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
17%
3
Trey Murphy III
NO
15%
4
Jaylen Wells
MEM
14%
5
Yves Missi
NO
13%
6
Jock Landale
MEM
12%
7
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
MEM
11%
8
Saddiq Bey
NO
0%
9
Jordan Hawkins
NO
0%
10
Jeremiah Fears
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
37%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
27%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 15.9 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 15.7 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 3 | Jaylen Wells | MEM | 15.4 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 4 | Jordan Poole | NO | 15.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| 5 | Zion Williamson | NO | 14.2 | 6.0 | 4.9 |
| 6 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | MEM | 12.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 12.4 | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| 8 | Javon Small | MEM | 12.2 | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| 9 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 11.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Cedric Coward | MEM | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Jock Landale | MEM | 9.2 | 5.2 | 1.0 |
| 12 | Santi Aldama | MEM | 8.8 | 5.9 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Yves Missi | NO | 8.3 | 8.6 | 1.0 |
| 14 | Cam Spencer | MEM | 7.4 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 15 | GG Jackson | MEM | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Micah Peavy | NO | 6.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Hunter Dickinson | NO | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | MEM | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 5.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 20 | PJ Hall | MEM | 5.0 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
| 21 | John Konchar | MEM | 3.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.