NBA games

PHI @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
115–103
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI31322428115
BKN23252728103

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home BKN
50% 50%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 42 22 9 7
Jared McCain 29 20 4 1
Quentin Grimes S 43 19 3 9
Paul George S 21 14 3 2
Adem Bona 23 13 6 0
Dominick Barlow S 25 10 10 4
Andre Drummond S 11 7 4 1
Jabari Walker 12 4 2 1
Justin Edwards 16 4 0 1
Johni Broome 7 2 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Egor Demin S 30 23 9 5
Tyrese Martin 17 16 2 2
Noah Clowney S 35 16 7 3
Terance Mann S 36 14 4 6
Nic Claxton S 38 12 6 1
Ziaire Williams S 30 10 4 1
Danny Wolf 13 5 5 1
Drake Powell 21 4 1 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 10 3 3 0
Jalen Wilson 10 0 0 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dominick Barlow · Layup (2 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Dominick Barlow makes 1-foot layup (Andre Drummond assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Nic Claxton BKN
15%
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI
11%
3 Quentin Grimes PHI
11%
4 Egor Demin BKN
10%
5 Paul George PHI
10%
6 Noah Clowney BKN
9%
7 Dominick Barlow PHI
9%
8 Terance Mann BKN
9%
9 Andre Drummond PHI
8%
10 Justin Edwards PHI
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
40%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
16%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 29.3 4.3 6.9
2 Quentin Grimes PHI 17.2 3.5 3.8
3 Noah Clowney BKN 16.4 3.7 2.0
4 Nic Claxton BKN 15.3 8.3 4.5
5 Paul George PHI 14.1 4.9 3.5
6 Andre Drummond PHI 11.0 10.1 1.4
7 Tyrese Martin BKN 9.9 3.3 2.7
8 Egor Demin BKN 9.2 3.3 3.9
9 Dominick Barlow PHI 8.7 5.3 1.6
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.7 2.7 1.1
11 Justin Edwards PHI 8.4 2.9 1.9
12 Terance Mann BKN 8.2 2.8 3.8
13 Drake Powell BKN 7.0 2.0 2.1
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.0 5.6 1.7
15 Jared McCain PHI 5.6 1.3 1.1
16 Ben Saraf BKN 4.5 1.4 3.2
17 Eric Gordon PHI 4.3 1.2 0.8
18 Jalen Wilson BKN 4.3 1.0 0.6
19 Jabari Walker PHI 3.9 2.7 1.0
20 Johni Broome PHI 3.5 2.7 0.6
21 Hunter Sallis PHI 3.5 1.5 0.9
22 Danny Wolf BKN 3.5 1.3 1.7
23 Adem Bona PHI 2.6 3.4 0.3
24 Tyson Etienne BKN 1.9 0.5 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.