CLE @ ATL
NBA
State Farm Arena
·Final
123–130
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 23 | 39 | 28 | 33 | 123 |
| ATL | 33 | 27 | 37 | 33 | 130 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ATL) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE
away
home
ATL
52%
48%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell S | 35 | 42 | 3 | 3 |
| Evan Mobley S | 34 | 20 | 14 | 7 |
| De'Andre Hunter S | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 |
| Darius Garland S | 33 | 15 | 5 | 10 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Jarrett Allen S | 28 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Dean Wade | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Lonzo Ball | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Donovan Mitchell ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Donovan Mitchell makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
11%
2
Jarrett Allen
CLE
11%
3
Evan Mobley
CLE
9%
4
Jalen Johnson
ATL
9%
5
De'Andre Hunter
CLE
9%
6
Darius Garland
CLE
8%
7
Jaylon Tyson
CLE
8%
8
Dyson Daniels
ATL
8%
9
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL
8%
10
Zaccharie Risacher
ATL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
61%
Jumper
13%
Layup
16%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 27.2 | 6.1 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Jalen Johnson | ATL | 25.6 | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| 3 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | ATL | 22.0 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 4 | Evan Mobley | CLE | 20.1 | 8.7 | 3.7 |
| 5 | Onyeka Okongwu | ATL | 19.0 | 6.1 | 3.1 |
| 6 | De'Andre Hunter | CLE | 18.3 | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| 7 | Darius Garland | CLE | 14.9 | 2.7 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 14.6 | 7.8 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 13.1 | 5.4 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Vit Krejci | ATL | 12.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 11 | Dyson Daniels | ATL | 11.9 | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| 12 | Zaccharie Risacher | ATL | 11.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Luke Kennard | ATL | 7.7 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 14 | Lonzo Ball | CLE | 7.1 | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| 15 | Keaton Wallace | ATL | 6.2 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 16 | Nae'Qwan Tomlin | CLE | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Mouhamed Gueye | ATL | 5.8 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 18 | Dean Wade | CLE | 5.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Tyrese Proctor | CLE | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Jacob Toppin | ATL | 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Larry Nance Jr. | CLE | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Asa Newell | ATL | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Thomas Bryant | CLE | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| 24 | N'Faly Dante | ATL | 1.9 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.