GS @ DEN
NBA
Ball Arena
·Final
104–129
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 21 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 104 |
| DEN | 32 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 129 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DEN) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS
away
home
DEN
34%
66%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green S | 26 | 17 | 6 | 4 |
| Jimmy Butler III S | 31 | 16 | 3 | 3 |
| Quinten Post | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Will Richard | 19 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| Pat Spencer | 23 | 10 | 6 | 5 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 |
| Buddy Hield | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandin Podziemski S | 25 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Jonathan Kuminga S | 27 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| Gary Payton II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Draymond Green ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Draymond Green makes 24-foot three point jumper (Moses Moody assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jamal Murray
DEN
14%
2
Jimmy Butler III
GS
11%
3
Aaron Gordon
DEN
11%
4
Jonathan Kuminga
GS
10%
5
Nikola Jokic
DEN
8%
6
Brandin Podziemski
GS
7%
7
Christian Braun
DEN
7%
8
Cameron Johnson
DEN
7%
9
Draymond Green
GS
7%
10
Will Richard
GS
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
22%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | 24.1 | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| 2 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 22.3 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| 3 | Jimmy Butler III | GS | 18.7 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| 4 | Aaron Gordon | DEN | 18.5 | 5.3 | 2.2 |
| 5 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 18.0 | 6.7 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Christian Braun | DEN | 13.1 | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| 7 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 12.4 | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Moses Moody | GS | 11.1 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Cameron Johnson | DEN | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Draymond Green | GS | 8.9 | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| 12 | Will Richard | GS | 8.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 7.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Jonas Valanciunas | DEN | 7.8 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Buddy Hield | GS | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Bruce Brown | DEN | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| 17 | Pat Spencer | GS | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 18 | Quinten Post | GS | 4.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Gary Payton II | GS | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Jalen Pickett | DEN | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Gui Santos | GS | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Spencer Jones | DEN | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.