NBA games

DET @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
125–107
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
DET27333431125
BKN29261933107

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (DET) games this season
DET away
home BKN
67% 33%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cade Cunningham S 33 34 1 10
Jalen Duren S 30 30 11 0
Ausar Thompson S 34 14 6 4
Caris LeVert 20 10 3 4
Javonte Green 20 8 3 1
Duncan Robinson S 31 7 1 8
Paul Reed 15 6 6 2
Ronald Holland II 25 5 5 1
Isaiah Stewart S 9 4 3 1
Bobi Klintman 15 4 5 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Michael Porter Jr. S 32 28 5 2
Noah Clowney S 31 19 1 2
Nic Claxton S 31 17 8 2
Jalen Wilson 11 9 1 1
Egor Demin S 23 8 3 7
Day'Ron Sharpe 17 7 4 3
Ziaire Williams 17 6 2 1
Drake Powell 27 6 4 2
Terance Mann S 22 3 0 3
E.J. Liddell 5 2 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Cade Cunningham · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"Cade Cunningham makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cade Cunningham DET
17%
2 Jalen Duren DET
14%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
4 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
12%
5 Ausar Thompson DET
9%
6 Duncan Robinson DET
9%
7 Terance Mann BKN
9%
8 Isaiah Stewart DET
8%
9 Noah Clowney BKN
8%
10 Paul Reed DET
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
41%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cade Cunningham DET 26.2 5.3 9.9
2 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 22.6 7.7 3.3
3 Jalen Duren DET 17.9 10.7 2.3
4 Ausar Thompson DET 14.5 7.1 3.5
5 Nic Claxton BKN 14.1 8.0 3.6
6 Terance Mann BKN 11.6 3.5 2.5
7 Duncan Robinson DET 10.4 3.0 1.5
8 Ronald Holland II DET 10.3 3.8 2.7
9 Isaiah Stewart DET 9.9 6.1 1.5
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.5 2.8 1.0
11 Tyrese Martin BKN 7.8 3.2 1.7
12 Noah Clowney BKN 7.4 3.4 1.5
13 Egor Demin BKN 6.4 3.1 2.2
14 Daniss Jenkins DET 6.3 1.0 2.6
15 Caris LeVert DET 6.2 1.7 1.7
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.2 5.2 1.8
17 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.9 1.6 0.9
18 Javonte Green DET 5.4 3.0 1.1
19 Paul Reed DET 5.0 3.7 1.1
20 Chaz Lanier DET 4.3 0.9 0.8
21 Bobi Klintman DET 3.3 2.0 0.8
22 Drake Powell BKN 2.7 1.0 0.7
23 E.J. Liddell BKN 2.0 1.5 0.3
24 Tyson Etienne BKN 1.5 0.5 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.