NO @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
124–126
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 28 | 31 | 25 | 40 | 124 |
| LAC | 26 | 41 | 27 | 32 | 126 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 8 (LAC) / 8 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
LAC
25%
75%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole | 33 | 30 | 2 | 2 |
| Zion Williamson S | 33 | 29 | 6 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 34 | 17 | 5 | 6 |
| Jeremiah Fears S | 29 | 13 | 4 | 8 |
| Herbert Jones S | 30 | 11 | 4 | 4 |
| Saddiq Bey | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Derik Queen | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Yves Missi S | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Herbert Jones ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:46 Q1
"Herbert Jones makes 25-foot three point jumper (Zion Williamson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
2
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
12%
3
James Harden
LAC
12%
4
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
5
Ivica Zubac
LAC
10%
6
Jeremiah Fears
NO
9%
7
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
9%
8
Bradley Beal
LAC
9%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
10
Bogdan Bogdanovic
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
29%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
30%
Layup
34%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 21.1 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 19.8 | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| 3 | James Harden | LAC | 18.0 | 4.4 | 8.7 |
| 4 | Jordan Poole | NO | 16.8 | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| 5 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 14.2 | 5.9 | 2.5 |
| 6 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 14.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 13.5 | 8.3 | 3.0 |
| 8 | John Collins | LAC | 11.9 | 5.6 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 12 | Brook Lopez | LAC | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Derik Queen | NO | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Yves Missi | NO | 7.9 | 6.6 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 7.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Bradley Beal | LAC | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Chris Paul | LAC | 6.4 | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| 18 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 6.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Cam Christie | LAC | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Micah Peavy | NO | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 4.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Bogdan Bogdanovic | LAC | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 26 | Jahmyl Telfort | LAC | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 27 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.