UTAH @ PHX
NBA
Mortgage Matchup Center
·Final
96–118
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 17 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 96 |
| PHX | 37 | 17 | 29 | 35 | 118 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 9 (PHX) / 8 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
PHX
59%
41%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen S | 35 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| Keyonte George S | 33 | 17 | 8 | 9 |
| Kyle Anderson | 25 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Cody Williams | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
| Ace Bailey | 23 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Elijah Harkless | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Walker Kessler S | 29 | 4 | 13 | 1 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Devin Booker ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Devin Booker makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Ryan Dunn assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Keyonte George
UTAH
13%
2
Devin Booker
PHX
12%
3
Walker Kessler
UTAH
12%
4
Mark Williams
PHX
11%
5
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
10%
6
Grayson Allen
PHX
10%
7
Ryan Dunn
PHX
9%
8
Royce O'Neale
PHX
8%
9
Kyle Filipowski
UTAH
8%
10
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
43%
Layup
18%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Booker | PHX | 27.5 | 4.1 | 7.2 |
| 2 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 25.9 | 6.1 | 3.4 |
| 3 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 20.9 | 3.9 | 7.2 |
| 4 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 18.7 | 10.8 | 4.6 |
| 5 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 16.9 | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| 6 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 14.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Mark Williams | PHX | 13.3 | 10.8 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 12.2 | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 10.7 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| 10 | Walter Clayton Jr. | UTAH | 10.1 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| 11 | Jusuf Nurkic | UTAH | 9.8 | 7.4 | 2.8 |
| 12 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 9.0 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 8.9 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 14 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 8.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 8.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 |
| 16 | Jordan Goodwin | PHX | 7.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 7.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| 19 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Khaman Maluach | PHX | 5.7 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Nick Richards | PHX | 5.4 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Isaiah Livers | PHX | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Nigel Hayes-Davis | PHX | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 25 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Rasheer Fleming | PHX | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.