NBA games

TOR @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
112101
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
TOR30183331112
CLE22213424101

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 9 (CLE) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR away
home CLE
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
RJ Barrett S 36 20 3 2
Brandon Ingram S 35 20 8 5
Jamison Battle 15 20 1 0
Scottie Barnes S 35 14 10 5
Sandro Mamukelashvili 19 11 6 3
Jamal Shead 21 9 7 4
Collin Murray-Boyles S 20 6 4 0
Immanuel Quickley S 27 4 1 6
Ja'Kobe Walter 10 3 1 0
Ochai Agbaji 17 3 7 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Evan Mobley S 36 29 8 3
De'Andre Hunter S 34 26 6 2
Jaylon Tyson S 33 18 3 4
Lonzo Ball S 26 8 5 5
Dean Wade S 30 5 4 4
Craig Porter Jr. 21 5 4 1
Tyrese Proctor 14 4 2 2
Thomas Bryant 12 4 3 1
Luke Travers 15 2 5 2
Larry Nance Jr. 20 0 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
De'Andre Hunter · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:03 Q1
"De'Andre Hunter makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 De'Andre Hunter CLE
15%
2 Evan Mobley CLE
14%
3 Scottie Barnes TOR
14%
4 RJ Barrett TOR
13%
5 Immanuel Quickley TOR
13%
6 Brandon Ingram TOR
12%
7 Collin Murray-Boyles TOR
10%
8 Jaylon Tyson CLE
8%
9 Jamison Battle TOR
0%
10 Ochai Agbaji TOR
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
24%
Layup
29%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Brandon Ingram TOR 22.7 5.5 4.0
2 Scottie Barnes TOR 20.7 7.5 5.1
3 Evan Mobley CLE 20.0 8.4 4.5
4 RJ Barrett TOR 19.2 4.5 3.7
5 De'Andre Hunter CLE 17.3 4.7 3.0
6 Immanuel Quickley TOR 16.0 3.6 6.1
7 Jaylon Tyson CLE 9.3 3.4 2.2
8 Gradey Dick TOR 8.7 2.8 1.1
9 Collin Murray-Boyles TOR 8.6 3.2 1.7
10 Sandro Mamukelashvili TOR 7.9 3.9 2.1
11 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 7.5 3.4 2.3
12 Lonzo Ball CLE 7.1 3.3 4.8
13 Dean Wade CLE 7.0 3.7 1.4
14 Jamal Shead TOR 6.4 1.9 4.6
15 Ja'Kobe Walter TOR 6.3 2.3 2.2
16 Tyrese Proctor CLE 6.3 1.5 1.9
17 Larry Nance Jr. CLE 6.2 4.1 1.7
18 Ochai Agbaji TOR 5.7 2.9 1.0
19 Thomas Bryant CLE 4.8 1.9 1.0
20 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE 4.6 1.6 0.6
21 Jamison Battle TOR 4.3 1.3 0.5
22 Luke Travers CLE 4.3 1.8 0.9
23 Jonathan Mogbo TOR 3.6 2.7 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.