CLE @ NY
NBA
Madison Square Garden
·Final
111–119
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 23 | 27 | 37 | 24 | 111 |
| NY | 33 | 32 | 22 | 32 | 119 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 5 (NY) / 4 (CLE) games this season
CLE
away
home
NY
38%
62%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell S | 36 | 31 | 2 | 5 |
| Evan Mobley S | 36 | 22 | 8 | 3 |
| Sam Merrill S | 28 | 19 | 3 | 1 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| Dean Wade | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaylon Tyson S | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Jarrett Allen S | 28 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Lonzo Ball | 23 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Evan Mobley ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Evan Mobley makes 11-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Evan Mobley
CLE
12%
2
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
12%
3
Jalen Brunson
NY
12%
4
Karl-Anthony Towns
NY
11%
5
Jarrett Allen
CLE
10%
6
Trey Jemison III
NY
9%
7
Mikal Bridges
NY
9%
8
Jordan Clarkson
NY
9%
9
Mohamed Diawara
NY
9%
10
Pacome Dadiet
NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
38%
Layup
15%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 18.5 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| 2 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 17.0 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 3 | Evan Mobley | CLE | 15.1 | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| 4 | Mikal Bridges | NY | 13.6 | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Miles McBride | NY | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 6 | Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 9.6 | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| 7 | Jordan Clarkson | NY | 9.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 9 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 7.5 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| 10 | Tyrese Proctor | CLE | 7.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| 11 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 7.0 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 12 | Tyler Kolek | NY | 6.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Dean Wade | CLE | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Pacome Dadiet | NY | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 15 | Larry Nance Jr. | CLE | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Guerschon Yabusele | NY | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Landry Shamet | NY | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Lonzo Ball | CLE | 4.7 | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 19 | Ariel Hukporti | NY | 4.5 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Trey Jemison III | NY | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Nae'Qwan Tomlin | CLE | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 22 | Thomas Bryant | CLE | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Luke Travers | CLE | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Mohamed Diawara | NY | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.