NBA games

CAN @ SHQ

NBA Chase Center ·Final
35–42
Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 0 (SHQ) / 0 (CAN) games this season
CAN away
home SHQ
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Dalton Knecht S 11 8 2 0
Ryan Dunn 10 8 2 0
Stephon Castle S 11 6 2 2
Amen Thompson 10 4 3 4
Keyonte George S 9 3 2 0
Zach Edey S 3 2 2 1
Trayce Jackson-Davis 6 2 0 1
Jaylen Wells S 5 2 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Damian Lillard S 9 9 3 2
Stephen Curry S 13 8 6 1
Jaylen Brown 6 8 0 0
Jayson Tatum S 10 6 2 2
Kyrie Irving 7 4 3 2
Kevin Durant S 11 4 3 3
James Harden S 9 3 1 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keyonte George · 3PT (3 pts) · 1:38 Q1
"Keyonte George makes 26-foot three point jumper (Zach Edey assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Damian Lillard SHQ
11%
2 Anthony Davis SHQ
10%
3 LeBron James SHQ
10%
4 Kyrie Irving SHQ
10%
5 Amen Thompson CAN
9%
6 James Harden SHQ
8%
7 Kevin Durant SHQ
8%
8 Jaylen Brown SHQ
8%
9 Jayson Tatum SHQ
8%
10 Stephen Curry SHQ
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
67%
Jumper
8%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 LeBron James SHQ 25.8 8.6 8.7
2 Damian Lillard SHQ 25.6 5.7 8.4
3 Anthony Davis SHQ 24.7 11.6 3.5
4 Jayson Tatum SHQ 24.6 6.6 5.8
5 Kevin Durant SHQ 24.5 4.6 4.5
6 Kyrie Irving SHQ 23.5 5.3 4.9
7 Stephen Curry SHQ 23.3 4.0 5.5
8 Jaylen Brown SHQ 22.7 5.9 4.8
9 James Harden SHQ 22.6 5.2 9.5
10 Keyonte George CAN 19.5 4.1 6.3
11 Stephon Castle CAN 18.5 4.5 3.8
12 Amen Thompson CAN 15.4 8.1 5.8
13 Zach Edey CAN 9.2 8.3 1.3
14 Jaylen Wells CAN 8.9 2.8 1.7
15 Dalton Knecht CAN 6.7 2.2 0.6
16 Trayce Jackson-Davis CAN 3.1 3.3 0.7
17 Ryan Dunn CAN 2.7 2.2 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.