NBA games

KEN @ CHK

NBA Chase Center ·Final
32–41
Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 0 (CHK) / 0 (KEN) games this season
KEN away
home CHK
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland 6 6 0 3
Evan Mobley S 8 6 0 1
Tyler Herro S 8 6 0 1
Cade Cunningham 5 5 1 1
Jaren Jackson Jr. S 8 4 2 2
Jalen Brunson S 8 3 0 3
Jalen Williams S 7 2 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S 7 12 2 1
Victor Wembanyama 6 6 4 0
Karl-Anthony Towns S 7 6 3 0
Pascal Siakam S 7 4 1 2
Alperen Sengun 4 4 1 0
Trae Young 6 4 0 5
Donovan Mitchell S 7 3 2 3
Nikola Jokic S 6 2 1 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Evan Mobley · Dunk (2 pts) · 1:38 Q1
"Evan Mobley makes 2-foot dunk (Jalen Williams assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander CHK
10%
2 Alperen Sengun CHK
7%
3 Tyler Herro KEN
7%
4 Evan Mobley KEN
6%
5 Anthony Edwards KEN
6%
6 Nikola Jokic CHK
6%
7 Victor Wembanyama CHK
6%
8 Giannis Antetokounmpo CHK
6%
9 Karl-Anthony Towns CHK
5%
10 Donovan Mitchell CHK
5%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
45%
Jumper
37%
Layup
12%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Giannis Antetokounmpo CHK 29.4 11.6 7.6
2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander CHK 28.9 4.3 6.0
3 Anthony Edwards KEN 28.3 5.8 5.9
4 Cade Cunningham KEN 27.9 5.7 9.1
5 Nikola Jokic CHK 27.1 10.2 10.6
6 Jalen Brunson KEN 25.0 3.1 7.7
7 Donovan Mitchell CHK 25.0 4.1 6.4
8 Darius Garland KEN 23.7 3.3 6.3
9 Pascal Siakam CHK 23.5 7.0 3.7
10 Tyler Herro KEN 23.3 4.8 7.5
11 Jalen Williams KEN 23.3 4.8 5.1
12 Jaren Jackson Jr. KEN 22.9 4.9 3.2
13 Karl-Anthony Towns CHK 22.9 11.2 3.6
14 Victor Wembanyama CHK 22.6 11.3 3.8
15 Alperen Sengun CHK 19.2 10.2 4.4
16 Evan Mobley KEN 19.0 10.2 3.5
17 Trae Young CHK 17.0 2.7 9.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.