NBA games

UTAH @ LAC

NBA Intuit Dome ·Final
107144
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH20273327107
LAC44373429144

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home LAC
44% 56%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Clarkson 23 20 0 2
Lauri Markkanen S 25 17 5 1
Collin Sexton S 24 15 0 2
John Collins S 38 14 5 2
Johnny Juzang 22 12 3 1
Walker Kessler S 23 10 7 0
Keyonte George S 33 9 3 7
Brice Sensabaugh 25 6 5 5
Kyle Filipowski 15 4 6 0
Isaiah Collier 12 0 1 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
James Harden S 31 41 1 6
Norman Powell S 28 29 4 1
Ivica Zubac S 26 19 12 4
Amir Coffey S 34 16 3 3
Kris Dunn S 24 12 2 4
Bones Hyland 12 8 0 3
Kevin Porter Jr. 26 7 8 6
Mo Bamba 17 6 7 1
Nicolas Batum 16 4 3 0
Jordan Miller 20 2 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ivica Zubac · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Ivica Zubac makes 14-foot two point shot (Kris Dunn assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ivica Zubac LAC
12%
2 John Collins UTAH
12%
3 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
4 James Harden LAC
11%
5 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
6 Walker Kessler UTAH
10%
7 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
9%
8 Norman Powell LAC
9%
9 Kris Dunn LAC
8%
10 Nicolas Batum LAC
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
21%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
25%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 James Harden LAC 25.3 4.7 9.0
2 Norman Powell LAC 21.3 3.1 3.6
3 Keyonte George UTAH 19.5 4.3 6.3
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 19.3 6.1 2.4
5 John Collins UTAH 19.0 8.4 3.0
6 Collin Sexton UTAH 18.9 2.8 3.8
7 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 16.6 3.9 3.9
8 Ivica Zubac LAC 14.4 11.1 2.6
9 Kevin Porter Jr. LAC 13.2 4.3 4.0
10 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.5 10.1 1.9
11 Amir Coffey LAC 11.2 2.9 1.8
12 Jordan Miller LAC 8.7 2.8 1.9
13 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 8.4 2.5 1.5
14 Bones Hyland LAC 7.6 1.6 1.4
15 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 7.5 3.9 2.0
16 Johnny Juzang UTAH 6.6 2.5 1.4
17 Kris Dunn LAC 6.4 3.5 2.0
18 Nicolas Batum LAC 5.0 2.5 1.6
19 Isaiah Collier UTAH 4.9 1.6 3.5
20 Mo Bamba LAC 4.5 3.3 0.9
21 Patty Mills UTAH 4.3 1.4 1.3
22 Micah Potter UTAH 3.9 4.7 0.8
23 Drew Eubanks UTAH 3.6 3.5 0.9
24 Kobe Brown LAC 3.3 2.1 0.8
25 Cody Williams UTAH 3.0 1.5 0.9
26 Kai Jones LAC 2.9 1.8 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.