MIL @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
84–109
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 22 | 16 | 20 | 26 | 84 |
| DAL | 21 | 33 | 29 | 26 | 109 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (DAL) / 3 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
DAL
27%
73%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. S | 22 | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| Anzejs Pasecniks | 28 | 11 | 8 | 3 |
| Ryan Rollins | 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 |
| Liam Robbins S | 20 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| Pat Connaughton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Smith S | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| Stanley Umude | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Taurean Prince S | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Delon Wright | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kyrie Irving ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:57 Q1
"Kyrie Irving makes layup (Daniel Gafford assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Damian Lillard
MIL
22%
2
Dereck Lively II
DAL
16%
3
Jazian Gortman
DAL
15%
4
Jaden Hardy
DAL
11%
5
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL
11%
6
Taurean Prince
MIL
11%
7
Brook Lopez
MIL
11%
8
Tyler Smith
MIL
0%
9
Liam Robbins
MIL
0%
10
AJ Johnson
MIL
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
58%
Dunk
14%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
13%
Layup
10%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 19.2 | 3.0 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 16.4 | 4.3 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 15.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| 4 | Jazian Gortman | DAL | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Quentin Grimes | DAL | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | DAL | 10.8 | 5.0 | 1.8 |
| 7 | AJ Johnson | MIL | 8.9 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 8 | Dereck Lively II | DAL | 8.5 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| 9 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Daniel Gafford | DAL | 6.9 | 6.3 | 1.1 |
| 11 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| 12 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 6.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Spencer Dinwiddie | DAL | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 6.4 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 15 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| 16 | AJ Green | MIL | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Tyler Smith | MIL | 5.0 | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| 18 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 4.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Anzejs Pasecniks | MIL | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Liam Robbins | MIL | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Jamarion Sharp | DAL | 3.7 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.