NBA games

BKN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
95–117
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2234231695
PHI33292530117

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 4 (PHI) / 2 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home PHI
45% 55%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 28 17 1 2
Shake Milton 20 13 2 3
Noah Clowney S 22 11 8 2
Cameron Johnson S 28 11 5 6
Ziaire Williams 27 11 9 1
Jalen Wilson 25 10 5 2
Dennis Schroder S 32 9 2 4
Dorian Finney-Smith S 29 8 5 1
Tyrese Martin 13 5 2 1
Dariq Whitehead 5 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 21 18 2 1
KJ Martin S 26 12 6 2
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 19 11 3 3
Jared McCain 23 9 7 2
Lester Quinones 16 9 3 1
Ricky Council IV 21 9 4 1
Guerschon Yabusele 20 9 6 1
Eric Gordon S 8 8 1 1
Tyrese Maxey S 17 7 1 5
Andre Drummond S 13 7 9 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Andre Drummond · Layup (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Andre Drummond makes two point shot (Eric Gordon assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Andre Drummond PHI
31%
2 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
25%
3 Eric Gordon PHI
22%
4 Tyrese Maxey PHI
20%
5 Jared McCain PHI
0%
6 Caleb Martin PHI
0%
7 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
0%
8 Jordan Tucker PHI
0%
9 Justin Edwards PHI
0%
10 Adem Bona PHI
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
4%
Jumper
14%
Layup
63%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 17.2 2.1 4.1
2 Jared McCain PHI 13.4 4.3 2.0
3 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 11.5 3.2 1.3
4 Andre Drummond PHI 9.6 9.6 1.3
5 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 8.4 4.3 1.6
6 Ricky Council IV PHI 8.1 3.6 1.7
7 KJ Martin PHI 7.3 3.2 1.4
8 Caleb Martin PHI 6.5 2.9 1.5
9 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 5.5 1.8 2.5
10 Reggie Jackson PHI 5.4 1.3 1.9
11 Justin Edwards PHI 5.2 2.1 0.7
12 Eric Gordon PHI 5.0 1.3 0.7
13 Lester Quinones PHI 4.8 2.0 0.7
14 Jordan Tucker PHI 3.5 1.5 0.5
15 Adem Bona PHI 2.7 2.6 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.