OKC @ DEN
NBA
Ball Arena
·Final
124–94
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 30 | 32 | 25 | 37 | 124 |
| DEN | 33 | 20 | 18 | 23 | 94 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (DEN) / 3 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
DEN
87%
13%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 20 | 19 | 3 | 5 |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 14 | 5 | 1 |
| Jalen Williams S | 20 | 14 | 2 | 2 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein S | 21 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 22 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 17 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Chet Holmgren S | 18 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| Cason Wallace | 20 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Aaron Gordon ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Aaron Gordon makes 16-foot jumper (Christian Braun assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Dillon Jones
OKC
21%
2
Christian Braun
DEN
18%
3
Malevy Leons
OKC
16%
4
Ousmane Dieng
OKC
15%
5
Adam Flagler
OKC
15%
6
Alex Ducas
OKC
13%
7
Julian Strawther
DEN
0%
8
Cormac Ryan
OKC
0%
9
Hunter Tyson
DEN
0%
10
Vlatko Cancar
DEN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
14%
Layup
43%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dillon Jones | OKC | 17.1 | 6.2 | 4.0 |
| 2 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 15.5 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 3 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 10.6 | 5.9 | 3.5 |
| 4 | Christian Braun | DEN | 8.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 |
| 5 | Adam Flagler | OKC | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 6 | Alex Ducas | OKC | 7.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 7 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 6.7 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 8 | Dario Saric | DEN | 6.7 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 5.8 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Trey Alexander | DEN | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Cormac Ryan | OKC | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 12 | Vlatko Cancar | DEN | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Malevy Leons | OKC | 3.8 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.