DAL @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
96–110
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 26 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 96 |
| LAC | 25 | 31 | 27 | 27 | 110 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (LAC) / 2 (DAL) games this season
DAL
away
home
LAC
21%
79%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes | 22 | 20 | 4 | 2 |
| Jaden Hardy S | 26 | 16 | 3 | 4 |
| Jazian Gortman S | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| P.J. Washington S | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| Brandon Williams | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| Dereck Lively II S | 24 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Naji Marshall | 27 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Daniel Gafford | 17 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Dereck Lively II ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Dereck Lively II makes free throw 2 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
James Harden
LAC
24%
2
Ivica Zubac
LAC
23%
3
Amir Coffey
LAC
19%
4
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
18%
5
Terance Mann
LAC
16%
6
Jordan Miller
LAC
0%
7
Alondes Williams
LAC
0%
8
Cam Christie
LAC
0%
9
Kai Jones
LAC
0%
10
Kevin Porter Jr.
LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
34%
Dunk
22%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
16%
Layup
13%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Harden | LAC | 15.2 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| 2 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 11.1 | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| 3 | Kai Jones | LAC | 10.0 | 7.2 | 1.7 |
| 4 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 8.0 | 6.6 | 1.9 |
| 5 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 7.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 7.3 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| 7 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 8 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 5.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 9 | Terance Mann | LAC | 5.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| 10 | Alondes Williams | LAC | 5.6 | 2.6 | 3.6 |
| 11 | Cam Christie | LAC | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.