NBA games

WSH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
92131
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH2026242292
BKN28273442131

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 1 (BKN) / 3 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home BKN
24% 76%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Poole S 23 13 3 1
Marvin Bagley III S 23 10 8 1
Richaun Holmes 15 10 5 0
Jared Butler 22 10 2 8
Corey Kispert S 26 9 0 0
Bub Carrington S 25 8 5 1
Kyle Kuzma S 25 7 6 4
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 19 7 3 0
Justin Champagnie 15 6 5 0
Tristan Vukcevic 9 4 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 24 17 5 1
Shake Milton 18 16 1 3
Jalen Wilson 22 14 3 2
Dennis Schroder S 25 13 2 7
Noah Clowney 22 11 2 3
Ben Simmons S 13 11 5 2
Cameron Johnson S 25 11 3 0
Tyrese Martin 16 9 3 3
Jaylen Martin 13 9 3 2
Ziaire Williams 24 7 7 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ben Simmons · Layup (2 pts) · 11:30 Q1
"Ben Simmons makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 9)
1 Kyle Kuzma WSH
37%
2 Jordan Poole WSH
37%
3 Kyshawn George WSH
25%
4 Corey Kispert WSH
0%
5 Bub Carrington WSH
0%
6 Tristan Vukcevic WSH
0%
7 Jared Butler WSH
0%
8 Johnny Davis WSH
0%
9 Patrick Baldwin Jr. WSH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
33%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
20%
Jumper
31%
Layup
13%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Corey Kispert WSH 12.6 3.2 1.9
2 Jordan Poole WSH 10.8 2.4 3.9
3 Kyle Kuzma WSH 10.4 4.7 2.5
4 Kyshawn George WSH 10.0 4.1 2.4
5 Bub Carrington WSH 8.8 4.4 1.8
6 Tristan Vukcevic WSH 4.8 1.3 0.6
7 Patrick Baldwin Jr. WSH 4.7 2.2 0.9
8 Jared Butler WSH 4.1 1.2 2.3
9 Johnny Davis WSH 3.6 1.7 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.