PHI @ ATL
NBA
State Farm Arena
·Final
104–89
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 23 | 31 | 21 | 29 | 104 |
| ATL | 23 | 25 | 19 | 22 | 89 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 1 (ATL) / 3 (PHI) games this season
PHI
away
home
ATL
80%
20%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey S | 26 | 14 | 2 | 7 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. S | 27 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Jared McCain | 16 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| KJ Martin | 22 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 21 | 10 | 11 | 3 |
| Eric Gordon S | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Paul George S | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Caleb Martin | 20 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Ricky Council IV | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Justin Edwards | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Clint Capela ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Clint Capela makes 4-foot jumper (Trae Young assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 9)
1
Jared McCain
PHI
22%
2
KJ Martin
PHI
20%
3
Guerschon Yabusele
PHI
20%
4
Jeff Dowtin Jr.
PHI
19%
5
Ricky Council IV
PHI
19%
6
Justin Edwards
PHI
0%
7
Adem Bona
PHI
0%
8
Jordan Tucker
PHI
0%
9
Lester Quinones
PHI
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
46%
Dunk
13%
Free Throw
2%
Jumper
18%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared McCain | PHI | 15.7 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| 2 | Ricky Council IV | PHI | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 3 | Guerschon Yabusele | PHI | 8.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 4 | Jeff Dowtin Jr. | PHI | 6.7 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 5 | KJ Martin | PHI | 6.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 6 | Justin Edwards | PHI | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| 7 | Lester Quinones | PHI | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 8 | Jordan Tucker | PHI | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 9 | Adem Bona | PHI | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.