NBA games

OKC @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
145–111
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
OKC46273438145
UTAH34242825111

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC away
home UTAH
79% 21%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Aaron Wiggins S 34 35 7 2
Isaiah Joe S 35 32 5 9
Kenrich Williams S 29 18 7 5
Adam Flagler 27 17 6 4
Jaylin Williams S 25 15 11 10
Ajay Mitchell 18 9 0 5
Branden Carlson 25 9 2 1
Dillon Jones S 33 8 7 4
Alex Ducas 14 2 2 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Svi Mykhailiuk 28 27 3 3
Brice Sensabaugh S 34 25 5 6
Johnny Juzang S 31 16 6 3
Kyle Filipowski S 31 15 13 1
Keyonte George S 30 12 1 8
Oscar Tshiebwe 25 10 14 0
Micah Potter 32 3 10 0
Jaden Springer S 28 3 5 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Aaron Wiggins · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Aaron Wiggins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dillon Jones assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Isaiah Collier UTAH
15%
2 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
15%
3 Collin Sexton UTAH
13%
4 Keyonte George UTAH
11%
5 Johnny Juzang UTAH
10%
6 Alex Caruso OKC
10%
7 Aaron Wiggins OKC
10%
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
8%
9 Isaiah Joe OKC
7%
10 Jaylin Williams OKC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
39%
Layup
27%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Collin Sexton UTAH 21.7 2.7 4.5
2 Keyonte George UTAH 18.7 4.0 4.7
3 Isaiah Collier UTAH 15.9 4.0 6.3
4 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 14.4 9.7 2.2
5 Isaiah Joe OKC 12.1 3.1 2.3
6 Aaron Wiggins OKC 12.1 4.2 2.4
7 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 11.9 3.7 2.2
8 Cason Wallace OKC 11.8 3.6 3.2
9 Johnny Juzang UTAH 11.0 2.9 1.7
10 Alex Caruso OKC 10.5 4.5 3.0
11 Ajay Mitchell OKC 9.5 3.4 2.5
12 Jaylin Williams OKC 8.9 5.9 2.9
13 Kenrich Williams OKC 8.6 3.7 2.6
14 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 6.7 7.5 0.9
15 Micah Potter UTAH 5.8 4.1 1.1
16 Branden Carlson OKC 5.6 2.8 1.4
17 Ousmane Dieng OKC 5.6 1.9 1.4
18 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 5.6 2.1 1.8
19 Jaden Springer UTAH 5.5 2.4 1.6
20 Dillon Jones OKC 4.9 2.9 1.6
21 Adam Flagler OKC 4.8 2.0 1.5
22 KJ Martin UTAH 4.8 2.0 1.4
23 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.3 2.0 0.9
24 Alex Ducas OKC 3.6 1.5 1.1

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.