BKN @ MIN
NBA
Target Center
·Final
91–117
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 16 | 36 | 21 | 18 | 91 |
| MIN | 28 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 117 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIN) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN
away
home
MIN
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Johnson S | 24 | 20 | 5 | 6 |
| Trendon Watford S | 32 | 15 | 8 | 4 |
| Jalen Wilson S | 35 | 14 | 9 | 3 |
| Drew Timme S | 40 | 11 | 10 | 2 |
| Reece Beekman S | 32 | 11 | 2 | 3 |
| Tosan Evbuomwan | 22 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Tyrese Martin | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Tyson Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Maxwell Lewis | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trendon Watford ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:27 Q1
"Trendon Watford makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Rudy Gobert
MIN
14%
2
Julius Randle
MIN
13%
3
Anthony Edwards
MIN
12%
4
Ziaire Williams
BKN
10%
5
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
9%
6
Keon Johnson
BKN
9%
7
Trendon Watford
BKN
8%
8
Reece Beekman
BKN
8%
9
Noah Clowney
BKN
8%
10
Mike Conley
MIN
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
29%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
14%
Layup
44%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 26.1 | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| 2 | Julius Randle | MIN | 21.2 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| 3 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 16.3 | 12.5 | 2.3 |
| 4 | Naz Reid | MIN | 14.0 | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| 5 | Drew Timme | BKN | 13.3 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| 6 | Keon Johnson | BKN | 13.0 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 7 | Trendon Watford | BKN | 12.9 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| 8 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 11.9 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| 9 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 11.2 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 10 | Mike Conley | MIN | 10.6 | 2.9 | 5.0 |
| 11 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 10.5 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Ziaire Williams | BKN | 10.0 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Tosan Evbuomwan | BKN | 9.7 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Tyrese Martin | BKN | 9.5 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 15 | Tyson Etienne | BKN | 9.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 16 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Dariq Whitehead | BKN | 7.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Maxwell Lewis | BKN | 6.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Noah Clowney | BKN | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Reece Beekman | BKN | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 21 | Jaylen Clark | MIN | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Josh Minott | MIN | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Luka Garza | MIN | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Bones Hyland | MIN | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 25 | Leonard Miller | MIN | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Rob Dillingham | MIN | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 27 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.