NBA games

ATL @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
124–110
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
ATL29313133124
PHI26401925110

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (ATL) games this season
ATL away
home PHI
60% 40%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Trae Young S 36 36 3 11
Caris LeVert 30 31 4 4
Georges Niang 17 16 3 0
Zaccharie Risacher S 26 12 3 0
Mouhamed Gueye S 33 10 18 2
Dyson Daniels S 37 8 10 8
Terance Mann 19 5 2 1
Onyeka Okongwu S 29 4 8 1
Vit Krejci 11 2 1 1
Dominick Barlow 2 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jared Butler S 29 25 4 7
Marcus Bagley S 38 20 10 5
Adem Bona S 30 18 6 1
Colin Castleton 25 16 8 0
Lonnie Walker IV S 24 12 5 3
Ricky Council IV S 32 10 7 4
Jalen Hood-Schifino 32 7 5 6
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 30 2 0 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Zaccharie Risacher · Layup (2 pts) · 10:34 Q1
"Zaccharie Risacher makes two point shot (Trae Young assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Zaccharie Risacher ATL
10%
2 Quentin Grimes PHI
10%
3 Dyson Daniels ATL
9%
4 Onyeka Okongwu ATL
9%
5 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
9%
6 Justin Edwards PHI
9%
7 Trae Young ATL
8%
8 Adem Bona PHI
8%
9 Lonnie Walker IV PHI
8%
10 Marcus Bagley PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
44%
Layup
24%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Trae Young ATL 26.1 2.8 12.9
2 Quentin Grimes PHI 24.8 4.4 6.4
3 Dyson Daniels ATL 18.1 6.9 5.3
4 Zaccharie Risacher ATL 17.4 3.7 2.1
5 Onyeka Okongwu ATL 17.2 10.2 2.8
6 Lonnie Walker IV PHI 17.1 3.7 3.7
7 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 16.0 3.3 3.0
8 Justin Edwards PHI 15.9 4.5 2.3
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 15.0 6.6 2.7
10 Adem Bona PHI 14.3 8.8 1.6
11 Jared Butler PHI 14.2 2.9 5.4
12 Caris LeVert ATL 12.4 3.9 3.0
13 Ricky Council IV PHI 10.7 4.7 2.0
14 Terance Mann ATL 9.4 3.4 1.7
15 Georges Niang ATL 9.3 2.0 1.6
16 Jalen Hood-Schifino PHI 8.6 2.1 2.3
17 Vit Krejci ATL 8.1 3.1 1.7
18 Colin Castleton PHI 7.2 6.0 1.9
19 Marcus Bagley PHI 6.1 5.5 0.8
20 Alex Reese PHI 6.0 3.1 0.7
21 Mouhamed Gueye ATL 5.8 4.8 1.0
22 Dominick Barlow ATL 4.7 3.4 0.9
23 Daeqwon Plowden ATL 4.4 1.9 0.6
24 Keaton Wallace ATL 4.0 1.7 1.7
25 Garrison Mathews ATL 4.0 1.5 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.