NBA games

ATL @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
133–109
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
ATL33363430133
BKN14312935109

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (ATL) games this season
ATL away
home BKN
64% 36%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Zaccharie Risacher S 35 38 4 2
Trae Young S 31 24 1 12
Onyeka Okongwu S 33 14 15 2
Terance Mann 25 14 3 0
Georges Niang 19 11 0 1
Dyson Daniels S 28 10 9 9
Vit Krejci 17 9 2 2
Mouhamed Gueye S 23 5 12 1
Caris LeVert 20 4 3 5
Daeqwon Plowden 1 2 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Wilson 24 20 4 3
Tosan Evbuomwan 28 18 6 3
Tyson Etienne 30 16 1 2
Drew Timme 29 13 11 6
Keon Johnson S 17 10 3 3
Ziaire Williams S 15 9 1 0
Trendon Watford S 20 8 5 3
Nic Claxton S 19 7 2 1
Tyrese Martin 25 5 2 5
Maxwell Lewis 9 3 3 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dyson Daniels · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Dyson Daniels makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Trae Young ATL
11%
2 Onyeka Okongwu ATL
11%
3 Dyson Daniels ATL
10%
4 Zaccharie Risacher ATL
9%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
6 Keon Johnson BKN
8%
7 Ziaire Williams BKN
8%
8 Reece Beekman BKN
7%
9 Trendon Watford BKN
7%
10 Killian Hayes BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
46%
Layup
16%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Trae Young ATL 26.0 3.1 11.9
2 Onyeka Okongwu ATL 19.1 10.8 3.3
3 Dyson Daniels ATL 18.4 7.0 5.1
4 Zaccharie Risacher ATL 15.0 3.4 1.9
5 Trendon Watford BKN 13.9 4.1 3.6
6 Drew Timme BKN 13.6 6.3 2.1
7 Keon Johnson BKN 13.3 3.4 3.1
8 Caris LeVert ATL 12.9 3.8 3.2
9 Nic Claxton BKN 12.9 7.8 2.4
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.0 3.8 1.5
11 Killian Hayes BKN 10.8 3.2 4.9
12 Georges Niang ATL 10.2 2.1 1.8
13 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 9.8 4.3 2.0
14 Jalen Wilson BKN 9.4 3.5 1.8
15 Tyrese Martin BKN 9.2 3.4 3.1
16 Tyson Etienne BKN 8.9 2.3 2.3
17 Terance Mann ATL 8.8 3.3 1.7
18 Vit Krejci ATL 7.7 2.9 2.0
19 Dariq Whitehead BKN 7.6 2.1 1.2
20 Maxwell Lewis BKN 7.5 3.4 1.4
21 Mouhamed Gueye ATL 5.6 3.9 1.0
22 Dominick Barlow ATL 5.4 3.7 0.9
23 Reece Beekman BKN 4.7 2.2 2.1
24 Garrison Mathews ATL 3.8 1.5 0.5
25 Daeqwon Plowden ATL 3.6 1.6 0.4
26 Keaton Wallace ATL 3.4 1.1 1.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.