NBA games

POR @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
126–133
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q5T
POR2824332912126
UTAH2431253419133

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (POR) games this season
POR away
home UTAH
88% 12%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Shaedon Sharpe S 35 37 7 5
Rayan Rupert 35 19 4 2
Toumani Camara S 33 16 6 2
Jabari Walker 33 15 7 0
Matisse Thybulle S 38 12 4 6
Dalano Banton S 35 11 2 4
Donovan Clingan S 27 10 9 4
Kris Murray 22 6 3 3
Justin Minaya 6 0 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kyle Filipowski S 34 30 18 5
Brice Sensabaugh S 36 22 4 4
Keyonte George S 34 18 6 6
Oscar Tshiebwe 19 17 10 0
Collin Sexton S 20 15 0 5
Johnny Juzang S 33 14 5 1
Svi Mykhailiuk 23 7 4 2
Jaden Springer 39 6 6 4
Micah Potter 27 4 3 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Shaedon Sharpe · Layup (2 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Shaedon Sharpe makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Shaedon Sharpe POR
13%
2 Isaiah Collier UTAH
10%
3 Deni Avdija POR
8%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
8%
5 Jerami Grant POR
8%
6 Anfernee Simons POR
7%
7 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
7%
8 Dalano Banton POR
7%
9 Toumani Camara POR
7%
10 Johnny Juzang UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
44%
Layup
31%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Deni Avdija POR 28.6 11.3 6.8
2 Shaedon Sharpe POR 25.3 6.9 4.6
3 Collin Sexton UTAH 22.3 3.0 4.5
4 Anfernee Simons POR 21.7 3.2 4.5
5 Keyonte George UTAH 19.1 3.9 4.3
6 Toumani Camara POR 17.0 5.7 3.1
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 16.1 4.1 6.5
8 Scoot Henderson POR 14.9 3.3 4.9
9 Jerami Grant POR 14.6 4.7 2.7
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 13.9 8.0 1.9
11 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 11.3 3.5 2.0
12 Dalano Banton POR 11.2 3.4 3.2
13 Johnny Juzang UTAH 10.8 3.0 1.6
14 Donovan Clingan POR 10.2 10.4 2.0
15 Duop Reath POR 8.8 3.9 1.4
16 Matisse Thybulle POR 7.2 3.7 2.2
17 Jabari Walker POR 6.0 3.4 1.2
18 Kris Murray POR 6.0 3.3 1.7
19 Micah Potter UTAH 5.8 4.4 1.2
20 KJ Martin UTAH 5.1 2.0 1.4
21 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 4.9 1.8 1.7
22 Jaden Springer UTAH 4.7 1.9 1.3
23 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 4.6 6.5 0.6
24 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.3 2.0 1.0
25 Sidy Cissoko POR 4.1 1.5 1.4
26 Rayan Rupert POR 4.0 1.7 1.1
27 Justin Minaya POR 3.5 1.3 1.0

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.