NO @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
111–136
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 26 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 111 |
| MIL | 21 | 41 | 38 | 36 | 136 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
MIL
24%
76%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lester Quinones | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 |
| Jamal Cain | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| Keion Brooks Jr. S | 32 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| Antonio Reeves S | 37 | 16 | 4 | 3 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl S | 34 | 15 | 10 | 3 |
| Karlo Matkovic S | 30 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| Kylor Kelley | 23 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Elfrid Payton S | 26 | 2 | 4 | 15 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Giannis Antetokounmpo ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 18-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
29%
2
Kyle Kuzma
MIL
12%
3
Brook Lopez
MIL
11%
4
Yves Missi
NO
10%
5
Antonio Reeves
NO
8%
6
Taurean Prince
MIL
8%
7
Bruce Brown
NO
7%
8
Jose Alvarado
NO
7%
9
Ryan Rollins
MIL
7%
10
Karlo Matkovic
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
74%
Jumper
7%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 31.3 | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| 2 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 18.3 | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| 3 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 17.3 | 5.1 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 16.4 | 9.4 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Kevin Porter Jr. | MIL | 16.1 | 4.9 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 13.7 | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| 7 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 12.3 | 3.2 | 4.0 |
| 8 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 11.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Yves Missi | NO | 11.7 | 10.0 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 11.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Bruce Brown | NO | 11.1 | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| 12 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 10.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| 14 | Keion Brooks Jr. | NO | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 7.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| 16 | AJ Green | MIL | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Elfrid Payton | NO | 5.8 | 3.4 | 7.1 |
| 18 | Jamal Cain | NO | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Lester Quinones | NO | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Kylor Kelley | NO | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Stanley Umude | MIL | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 25 | Jamaree Bouyea | MIL | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.