BOS @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
76–96
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 21 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 76 |
| ORL | 27 | 22 | 31 | 16 | 96 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
ORL
65%
35%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Pritchard S | 35 | 15 | 4 | 10 |
| Baylor Scheierman S | 35 | 15 | 5 | 3 |
| Luke Kornet S | 25 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Neemias Queta | 25 | 11 | 7 | 2 |
| Sam Hauser S | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| Miles Norris | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Drew Peterson | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Xavier Tillman | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Torrey Craig S | 28 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| JD Davison | 17 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Wendell Carter Jr. ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Wendell Carter Jr. makes 7-foot driving floating jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Paolo Banchero
ORL
24%
2
Franz Wagner
ORL
20%
3
Jaylen Brown
BOS
15%
4
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
11%
5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
ORL
10%
6
Cory Joseph
ORL
10%
7
Derrick White
BOS
9%
8
Sam Hauser
BOS
0%
9
Payton Pritchard
BOS
0%
10
Torrey Craig
BOS
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
77%
Jumper
4%
Layup
8%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 29.0 | 8.5 | 5.4 |
| 2 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 23.4 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| 3 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 17.4 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Derrick White | BOS | 14.9 | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| 5 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 12.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| 6 | Anthony Black | ORL | 11.0 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 10.4 | 6.5 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 10.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 9 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | ORL | 9.6 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 9.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| 11 | Luke Kornet | BOS | 8.3 | 6.5 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Cory Joseph | ORL | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 16 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 3.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Torrey Craig | BOS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 18 | Gary Harris | ORL | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 20 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 21 | Jett Howard | ORL | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 22 | JD Davison | BOS | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Trevelin Queen | ORL | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 25 | Xavier Tillman | BOS | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Drew Peterson | BOS | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.