NO @ BKN
NBA
Barclays Center
·Final
114–119
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 24 | 29 | 26 | 35 | 114 |
| BKN | 26 | 28 | 43 | 22 | 119 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
BKN
34%
66%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlo Matkovic | 26 | 17 | 4 | 1 |
| Antonio Reeves S | 30 | 17 | 3 | 2 |
| Jose Alvarado S | 23 | 16 | 1 | 4 |
| Jamal Cain | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| Keion Brooks Jr. | 23 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| Yves Missi S | 19 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| Bruce Brown S | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| Kelly Olynyk S | 22 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| Lester Quinones | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Elfrid Payton | 23 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trendon Watford ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Trendon Watford makes 1-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Yves Missi
NO
9%
2
Nic Claxton
BKN
9%
3
Ziaire Williams
BKN
8%
4
Kelly Olynyk
NO
7%
5
Trendon Watford
BKN
7%
6
Reece Beekman
BKN
7%
7
Elfrid Payton
NO
7%
8
Drew Timme
BKN
7%
9
Noah Clowney
BKN
7%
10
Bruce Brown
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
23%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
16%
Layup
49%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trendon Watford | BKN | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| 2 | Nic Claxton | BKN | 12.8 | 8.8 | 2.4 |
| 3 | Kelly Olynyk | NO | 12.7 | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| 4 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.7 | 3.1 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Drew Timme | BKN | 12.4 | 5.6 | 2.1 |
| 6 | Bruce Brown | NO | 12.3 | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| 7 | Yves Missi | NO | 11.7 | 10.7 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Ziaire Williams | BKN | 11.6 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Tosan Evbuomwan | BKN | 9.7 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 9.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 9.5 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Tyrese Martin | BKN | 9.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 13 | Jalen Wilson | BKN | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Keion Brooks Jr. | NO | 8.4 | 4.2 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Tyson Etienne | BKN | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 17 | Maxwell Lewis | BKN | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Noah Clowney | BKN | 6.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Dariq Whitehead | BKN | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Elfrid Payton | NO | 5.4 | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| 21 | Lester Quinones | NO | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Reece Beekman | BKN | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Jamal Cain | NO | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Kylor Kelley | NO | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.