ORL @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
113–93
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 32 | 36 | 20 | 25 | 113 |
| NO | 23 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 93 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (ORL) games this season
ORL
away
home
NO
73%
27%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero S | 34 | 34 | 11 | 4 |
| Franz Wagner S | 35 | 27 | 6 | 5 |
| Cory Joseph S | 30 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope S | 32 | 12 | 3 | 3 |
| Jonathan Isaac | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. S | 27 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Anthony Black | 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Caleb Houstan | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Tristan da Silva | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Karlo Matkovic ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Karlo Matkovic makes dunk"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
14%
2
Trey Murphy III
NO
13%
3
Paolo Banchero
ORL
13%
4
Franz Wagner
ORL
11%
5
Yves Missi
NO
10%
6
Bruce Brown
NO
8%
7
Cole Anthony
ORL
8%
8
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
9
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
8%
10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
ORL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
18%
Layup
52%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 28.0 | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 26.4 | 8.0 | 6.2 |
| 3 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 23.8 | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| 4 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 21.1 | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 19.1 | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 6 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 14.1 | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| 7 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 11.6 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 11.3 | 8.4 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.6 | 7.8 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 10.1 | 5.9 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | ORL | 9.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 9.7 | 3.1 | 4.9 |
| 13 | Anthony Black | ORL | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Bruce Brown | NO | 6.6 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| 15 | Mo Bamba | NO | 5.1 | 5.2 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 20 | Jett Howard | ORL | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Trevelin Queen | ORL | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Gary Harris | ORL | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Cory Joseph | ORL | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Jamal Cain | NO | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.