NBA games

TOR @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
120–109
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
TOR28332138120
BKN23232637109

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR away
home BKN
53% 47%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jonathan Mogbo S 30 17 11 7
Ochai Agbaji S 30 15 3 2
A.J. Lawson 22 13 1 0
RJ Barrett S 29 13 6 3
Cole Swider 24 12 8 0
Jamison Battle 19 12 2 0
Orlando Robinson 22 11 7 3
Jared Rhoden 17 10 0 1
Jamal Shead S 29 9 4 12
Ja'Kobe Walter S 18 8 5 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Reece Beekman S 36 14 4 5
Trendon Watford S 22 13 5 4
Drew Timme S 26 13 7 2
Keon Johnson S 20 13 7 4
Dariq Whitehead 28 13 4 3
Maxwell Lewis 27 13 4 1
Tosan Evbuomwan 25 12 7 3
Ziaire Williams S 24 11 4 1
Tyson Etienne 32 7 4 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Drew Timme · Layup (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Drew Timme makes tip shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 RJ Barrett TOR
13%
2 Keon Johnson BKN
11%
3 Ziaire Williams BKN
10%
4 Ja'Kobe Walter TOR
10%
5 Trendon Watford BKN
10%
6 Jonathan Mogbo TOR
10%
7 Jamison Battle TOR
10%
8 Noah Clowney BKN
9%
9 Maxwell Lewis BKN
9%
10 Jalen Wilson BKN
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
29%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
33%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 RJ Barrett TOR 22.1 6.4 5.8
2 Keon Johnson BKN 14.4 3.9 3.4
3 Ja'Kobe Walter TOR 13.5 4.1 2.9
4 Trendon Watford BKN 13.5 4.1 3.5
5 Drew Timme BKN 12.4 5.6 2.2
6 Jamal Shead TOR 12.1 2.9 5.6
7 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.7 3.6 1.4
8 Orlando Robinson TOR 10.9 6.0 1.9
9 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.3 3.7 3.3
10 Ochai Agbaji TOR 10.0 3.8 1.6
11 Jonathan Mogbo TOR 9.8 6.5 3.0
12 Jamison Battle TOR 9.8 3.7 1.4
13 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 9.8 4.0 2.0
14 Jalen Wilson BKN 9.4 3.0 1.4
15 Jared Rhoden TOR 7.9 3.1 1.2
16 Chris Boucher TOR 7.2 4.4 1.0
17 A.J. Lawson TOR 6.8 3.5 1.4
18 Maxwell Lewis BKN 6.6 3.1 1.3
19 Noah Clowney BKN 6.6 3.1 1.0
20 Cole Swider TOR 5.7 2.4 0.8
21 Dariq Whitehead BKN 5.4 1.7 0.8
22 Reece Beekman BKN 4.0 1.8 1.1
23 Garrett Temple TOR 2.5 1.1 1.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.