NBA games

MIN @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
105–90
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MIN20292828105
BKN1918302390

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN away
home BKN
79% 21%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Anthony Edwards S 32 28 5 3
Rudy Gobert S 36 21 18 1
Naz Reid 26 13 2 3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 28 13 4 5
Julius Randle S 27 11 8 4
Jaden McDaniels S 33 8 4 2
Mike Conley S 24 6 1 6
Luka Garza 2 3 1 0
Donte DiVincenzo 21 2 1 2
Bones Hyland 2 0 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nic Claxton S 24 18 6 5
Dariq Whitehead 26 17 3 1
Tosan Evbuomwan 30 13 8 3
Trendon Watford S 27 11 5 5
Maxwell Lewis S 28 10 6 2
Keon Johnson S 25 8 1 4
Drew Timme 24 6 1 2
Tyson Etienne 25 5 2 5
Reece Beekman 18 2 2 2
D'Angelo Russell S 13 0 0 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Maxwell Lewis · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Maxwell Lewis makes 25-foot three point jumper (Trendon Watford assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Anthony Edwards MIN
16%
2 Julius Randle MIN
13%
3 Rudy Gobert MIN
12%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
5 Keon Johnson BKN
11%
6 Jaden McDaniels MIN
9%
7 Joe Ingles MIN
9%
8 Mike Conley MIN
9%
9 D'Angelo Russell BKN
9%
10 Donte DiVincenzo MIN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
31%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
38%
Jumper
10%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Anthony Edwards MIN 27.3 4.7 5.3
2 Julius Randle MIN 21.7 5.9 5.2
3 Keon Johnson BKN 14.8 3.8 3.0
4 Drew Timme BKN 13.6 6.1 1.9
5 D'Angelo Russell BKN 13.1 3.3 5.6
6 Rudy Gobert MIN 12.9 11.8 1.8
7 Jaden McDaniels MIN 12.2 6.1 1.9
8 Trendon Watford BKN 12.2 3.4 2.8
9 Nic Claxton BKN 12.1 8.2 2.3
10 Naz Reid MIN 11.8 5.6 2.8
11 Donte DiVincenzo MIN 11.5 3.8 3.8
12 Nickeil Alexander-Walker MIN 10.9 4.0 3.3
13 Mike Conley MIN 10.4 2.7 4.5
14 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.0 3.6 3.3
15 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 8.7 3.4 1.5
16 Maxwell Lewis BKN 6.2 2.5 1.1
17 Jaylen Clark MIN 4.9 1.8 1.0
18 Dariq Whitehead BKN 4.2 1.2 0.6
19 Josh Minott MIN 3.7 1.5 0.7
20 Luka Garza MIN 3.7 0.9 0.5
21 Bones Hyland MIN 3.3 0.8 1.1
22 Rob Dillingham MIN 2.8 1.2 0.7
23 Reece Beekman BKN 2.2 0.8 0.5
24 Leonard Miller MIN 1.8 1.1 0.3
25 Joe Ingles MIN 1.8 0.7 1.1

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.