NBA games

UTAH @ HOU

NBA Toyota Center (Houston) ·Final
105–143
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH26202930105
HOU33373241143

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (HOU) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home HOU
52% 48%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Isaiah Collier S 32 22 5 10
Collin Sexton S 24 18 0 4
Keyonte George 27 14 1 0
KJ Martin 21 13 3 2
Walker Kessler S 28 11 12 1
Brice Sensabaugh S 33 10 3 3
Kyle Filipowski S 31 6 11 1
Johnny Juzang 23 5 2 2
Jaden Springer 5 3 2 0
Svi Mykhailiuk 15 3 0 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Green S 28 22 4 2
Dillon Brooks S 28 21 2 0
Tari Eason S 24 15 9 3
Alperen Sengun S 29 15 14 9
Jabari Smith Jr. 27 15 14 2
Reed Sheppard 9 15 3 2
Cam Whitmore 12 11 3 3
Amen Thompson S 27 9 4 5
Jock Landale 20 6 5 2
Aaron Holiday 13 6 2 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dillon Brooks · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:38 Q1
"Dillon Brooks makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tari Eason assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Green HOU
12%
2 Amen Thompson HOU
11%
3 Alperen Sengun HOU
11%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
8%
5 John Collins UTAH
8%
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
7%
7 Walker Kessler UTAH
7%
8 Johnny Juzang UTAH
6%
9 Dillon Brooks HOU
6%
10 Fred VanVleet HOU
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
21%
Layup
24%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Green HOU 25.1 6.5 5.5
2 Alperen Sengun HOU 20.6 12.2 5.3
3 John Collins UTAH 20.1 7.4 1.6
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 19.6 3.1 4.9
5 Amen Thompson HOU 18.4 9.9 5.5
6 Keyonte George UTAH 17.5 3.8 4.8
7 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 15.7 3.1 3.4
8 Fred VanVleet HOU 15.5 3.9 5.5
9 Dillon Brooks HOU 15.1 3.5 2.8
10 Jabari Smith Jr. HOU 15.1 6.9 1.9
11 Tari Eason HOU 14.6 7.7 2.1
12 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 14.3 7.0 2.0
13 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.5 4.0 5.8
14 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 10.7 2.9 1.7
15 Johnny Juzang UTAH 10.0 2.9 1.5
16 Walker Kessler UTAH 9.6 10.0 1.7
17 Steven Adams HOU 7.1 8.2 1.4
18 Aaron Holiday HOU 6.9 2.0 1.4
19 Cam Whitmore HOU 6.0 2.3 1.2
20 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 5.8 1.8 1.7
21 Reed Sheppard HOU 5.7 1.8 1.6
22 KJ Martin UTAH 5.5 2.4 1.5
23 Jeff Green HOU 4.9 2.3 0.9
24 Jock Landale HOU 4.9 2.5 0.8
25 Jaden Springer UTAH 4.2 1.7 1.3
26 Jae'Sean Tate HOU 4.1 3.1 1.2
27 Nate Williams HOU 3.0 0.9 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.