LAC @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
96–87
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 22 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 96 |
| ORL | 28 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 87 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
ORL
69%
31%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell S | 34 | 21 | 4 | 1 |
| Kawhi Leonard S | 39 | 21 | 8 | 2 |
| James Harden S | 40 | 20 | 3 | 5 |
| Ivica Zubac S | 38 | 18 | 20 | 5 |
| Kris Dunn S | 26 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicolas Batum | 21 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Paolo Banchero ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:20 Q1
"Paolo Banchero makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Ivica Zubac
LAC
14%
2
Franz Wagner
ORL
12%
3
Paolo Banchero
ORL
12%
4
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
10%
5
Norman Powell
LAC
10%
6
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
7%
7
James Harden
LAC
7%
8
Cory Joseph
ORL
7%
9
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
7%
10
Kris Dunn
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
22%
Jumper
21%
Layup
47%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 28.9 | 7.6 | 5.4 |
| 2 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 24.8 | 6.9 | 3.9 |
| 3 | James Harden | LAC | 24.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 |
| 4 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 23.7 | 6.4 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 20.3 | 11.3 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Norman Powell | LAC | 16.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Bogdan Bogdanovic | LAC | 12.0 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Anthony Black | ORL | 12.0 | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 10.3 | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 9.7 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| 11 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | ORL | 8.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Cory Joseph | ORL | 7.0 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 14 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 5.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 4.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Gary Harris | ORL | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Jett Howard | ORL | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Patty Mills | LAC | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Drew Eubanks | LAC | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Cam Christie | LAC | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.