GS @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
111–95
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 21 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 111 |
| NO | 28 | 25 | 29 | 13 | 95 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS
away
home
NO
62%
38%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry S | 34 | 23 | 4 | 6 |
| Jimmy Butler III S | 35 | 18 | 10 | 4 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 23 | 16 | 8 | 3 |
| Quinten Post | 18 | 15 | 6 | 2 |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Brandin Podziemski S | 31 | 10 | 6 | 2 |
| Moses Moody S | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Draymond Green S | 26 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Gui Santos | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Kevin Knox II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jose Alvarado ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:25 Q1
"Jose Alvarado makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jimmy Butler III
GS
13%
2
Stephen Curry
GS
10%
3
Yves Missi
NO
10%
4
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
5
Brandin Podziemski
GS
8%
6
Kelly Olynyk
NO
8%
7
Moses Moody
GS
8%
8
Keion Brooks Jr.
NO
8%
9
Jordan Hawkins
NO
7%
10
Draymond Green
GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
33%
Layup
28%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Curry | GS | 24.6 | 3.9 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Jimmy Butler III | GS | 20.1 | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 18.8 | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| 4 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 15.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 5 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 12.7 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Moses Moody | GS | 12.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 7 | Draymond Green | GS | 11.5 | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Kelly Olynyk | NO | 10.9 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| 9 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 10.6 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 10.4 | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| 11 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.0 | 7.0 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 9.7 | 6.5 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Bruce Brown | NO | 9.0 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Buddy Hield | GS | 8.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 15 | Quinten Post | GS | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 6.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Gui Santos | GS | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Elfrid Payton | NO | 3.8 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 20 | Keion Brooks Jr. | NO | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Mo Bamba | NO | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Lester Quinones | NO | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Kevin Knox II | GS | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Kevon Looney | GS | 3.4 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Pat Spencer | GS | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.