NBA games

LAC @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
132–100
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC26423727132
BKN27212131100

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home BKN
62% 38%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kawhi Leonard S 27 31 6 2
Ivica Zubac S 25 21 12 1
James Harden S 29 17 2 6
Patty Mills 7 14 0 0
Norman Powell S 25 11 2 5
Nicolas Batum 19 9 4 0
Kris Dunn S 22 9 4 2
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 8 6 9
Derrick Jones Jr. 15 6 3 0
Amir Coffey 14 5 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keon Johnson S 23 13 1 2
Cameron Johnson S 20 11 0 6
Drew Timme 25 11 10 1
Jalen Wilson 28 8 7 2
Tyson Etienne 10 8 0 1
Ziaire Williams S 18 6 3 1
Nic Claxton S 20 6 5 1
Trendon Watford 20 6 5 5
Tyrese Martin 19 6 4 1
Reece Beekman 7 6 0 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kawhi Leonard · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Kawhi Leonard makes 5-foot two point shot (Kris Dunn assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ivica Zubac LAC
13%
2 Cameron Johnson BKN
11%
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC
10%
4 Norman Powell LAC
10%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
6 Keon Johnson BKN
8%
7 Tyrese Martin BKN
8%
8 James Harden LAC
7%
9 Killian Hayes BKN
7%
10 D'Angelo Russell BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
29%
Layup
37%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 James Harden LAC 25.6 5.9 8.9
2 Kawhi Leonard LAC 23.9 6.8 4.3
3 Ivica Zubac LAC 20.6 11.9 3.1
4 Cameron Johnson BKN 20.4 5.3 5.4
5 Norman Powell LAC 17.1 3.0 2.4
6 Nic Claxton BKN 12.3 8.4 2.3
7 D'Angelo Russell BKN 12.3 3.0 5.2
8 Bogdan Bogdanovic LAC 12.1 4.3 3.3
9 Trendon Watford BKN 12.1 3.3 3.4
10 Keon Johnson BKN 12.0 4.0 2.9
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.8 4.2 1.7
12 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 10.2 3.8 0.9
13 Tyrese Martin BKN 9.0 3.4 3.0
14 Killian Hayes BKN 9.0 2.3 4.5
15 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 7.7 2.9 1.5
16 Jalen Wilson BKN 7.2 2.3 1.3
17 Kris Dunn LAC 7.0 3.0 2.7
18 Amir Coffey LAC 7.0 1.7 0.9
19 Nicolas Batum LAC 6.5 3.5 1.3
20 Maxwell Lewis BKN 5.5 2.4 1.0
21 Ben Simmons LAC 4.8 4.1 2.7
22 Dariq Whitehead BKN 4.2 1.2 0.6
23 Drew Eubanks LAC 3.5 2.8 0.6
24 Patty Mills LAC 2.7 0.9 0.7
25 Kobe Brown LAC 2.4 1.4 0.6
26 Reece Beekman BKN 1.9 0.8 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.