NBA games

TOR @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
116–86
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
TOR32303123116
BKN1827231886

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR away
home BKN
62% 38%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Orlando Robinson S 24 23 12 3
Jonathan Mogbo 24 16 7 5
RJ Barrett S 28 15 6 5
Scottie Barnes S 28 15 7 5
Ochai Agbaji 22 12 8 2
Ja'Kobe Walter S 30 11 2 6
Jamison Battle 25 8 10 0
Jamal Shead S 24 7 5 8
Cole Swider 20 7 3 0
A.J. Lawson 16 2 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nic Claxton S 29 22 11 1
Ziaire Williams S 27 13 6 1
Jalen Wilson 27 10 4 0
Dariq Whitehead 25 9 2 1
Trendon Watford 26 9 4 3
Keon Johnson S 28 8 2 5
D'Angelo Russell S 25 5 5 2
Noah Clowney S 28 5 5 2
Maxwell Lewis 24 5 4 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ja'Kobe Walter · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Ja'Kobe Walter makes 1-foot dunk (Scottie Barnes assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Scottie Barnes TOR
12%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
12%
3 Jakob Poeltl TOR
11%
4 RJ Barrett TOR
10%
5 Immanuel Quickley TOR
8%
6 Nic Claxton BKN
8%
7 D'Angelo Russell BKN
8%
8 Keon Johnson BKN
7%
9 Tyrese Martin BKN
7%
10 Jamison Battle TOR
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
38%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 23.2 3.5 4.6
2 RJ Barrett TOR 21.5 6.4 6.0
3 Immanuel Quickley TOR 21.3 4.4 6.0
4 Scottie Barnes TOR 20.1 9.0 5.4
5 Jakob Poeltl TOR 14.9 7.1 2.7
6 D'Angelo Russell BKN 14.2 3.2 5.5
7 Trendon Watford BKN 12.7 3.9 3.6
8 Ziaire Williams BKN 12.3 4.0 1.8
9 A.J. Lawson TOR 12.2 4.3 1.7
10 Keon Johnson BKN 12.2 4.2 2.5
11 Nic Claxton BKN 12.1 8.7 3.1
12 Orlando Robinson TOR 10.9 7.6 2.7
13 Jamal Shead TOR 10.5 2.9 4.8
14 Tyrese Martin BKN 9.9 3.6 3.2
15 Jamison Battle TOR 9.7 3.6 1.0
16 Ochai Agbaji TOR 8.7 3.6 1.4
17 Noah Clowney BKN 8.3 3.6 1.2
18 Ja'Kobe Walter TOR 8.2 3.6 1.4
19 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.6 6.9 2.0
20 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.9 2.1 1.3
21 Jonathan Mogbo TOR 6.1 5.5 1.7
22 Maxwell Lewis BKN 5.4 2.3 0.9
23 Cole Swider TOR 5.0 2.5 0.9
24 Garrett Temple TOR 3.3 1.4 1.5
25 Dariq Whitehead BKN 2.8 0.9 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.