NBA games

WSH @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
119–114
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH45223022119
PHI29292729114

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home PHI
50% 50%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Alex Sarr S 31 24 7 2
Jordan Poole S 22 18 2 7
Justin Champagnie S 22 18 10 1
Tristan Vukcevic 23 17 6 2
Jaylen Martin 32 12 6 3
Bub Carrington S 28 9 5 6
AJ Johnson S 34 9 5 6
Colby Jones 28 8 4 2
JT Thor 20 4 4 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Quentin Grimes S 33 22 3 4
Guerschon Yabusele S 27 21 8 1
Justin Edwards S 36 19 10 1
Jared Butler 26 14 5 4
Ricky Council IV S 34 13 6 3
Jeff Dowtin Jr. S 28 11 1 3
Adem Bona 23 6 6 3
Phillip Wheeler 15 4 4 2
Marcus Bagley 19 4 4 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Guerschon Yabusele · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:20 Q1
"Guerschon Yabusele makes 3-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Quentin Grimes PHI
12%
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI
12%
3 Alex Sarr WSH
11%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
10%
5 Justin Edwards PHI
10%
6 Kyshawn George WSH
8%
7 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
8%
8 Ricky Council IV PHI
7%
9 Jared Butler PHI
7%
10 Jordan Poole WSH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
52%
Jumper
14%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Quentin Grimes PHI 27.7 5.1 6.3
2 Alex Sarr WSH 21.2 7.9 3.2
3 Tyrese Maxey PHI 20.7 3.1 6.0
4 Jordan Poole WSH 20.0 3.4 4.3
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 19.1 3.9 2.1
6 Justin Edwards PHI 15.9 3.8 2.3
7 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 14.2 3.6 2.8
8 Jared Butler PHI 13.7 3.2 5.5
9 Kyshawn George WSH 13.5 5.4 3.1
10 Ricky Council IV PHI 13.0 4.6 2.0
11 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 12.2 6.3 2.7
12 Bub Carrington WSH 11.4 4.3 5.0
13 Richaun Holmes WSH 10.7 8.4 2.0
14 Tristan Vukcevic WSH 10.1 4.8 1.3
15 Justin Champagnie WSH 9.7 6.0 1.6
16 AJ Johnson WSH 9.5 2.9 3.1
17 Adem Bona PHI 8.6 6.6 1.0
18 Lonnie Walker IV PHI 8.2 3.0 1.8
19 Colby Jones WSH 5.8 2.7 1.5
20 Anthony Gill WSH 5.2 1.9 1.0
21 Jaylen Martin WSH 5.0 2.4 0.9
22 JT Thor WSH 4.4 2.4 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.