NBA games

DAL @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
120–101
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
DAL32303424120
BKN17312924101

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (DAL) games this season
DAL away
home BKN
37% 63%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Naji Marshall 27 22 4 2
P.J. Washington S 31 16 2 5
Spencer Dinwiddie S 29 16 1 12
Brandon Williams 19 15 5 4
Kai Jones S 28 13 9 0
Anthony Davis S 27 12 6 3
Max Christie 26 10 5 2
Klay Thompson S 25 8 3 2
Dwight Powell 16 4 6 2
Jaden Hardy 13 4 0 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nic Claxton S 27 19 7 3
Cameron Johnson S 30 17 2 8
Trendon Watford 28 12 1 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 24 10 7 4
Maxwell Lewis 15 9 2 0
Keon Johnson S 29 8 4 3
Jalen Wilson 18 8 2 0
Tyrese Martin S 25 6 4 5
Noah Clowney 22 6 6 2
Ziaire Williams S 22 6 2 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Anthony Davis · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Anthony Davis makes 1-foot dunk (P.J. Washington assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Anthony Davis DAL
10%
2 Cam Thomas BKN
9%
3 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
4 P.J. Washington DAL
7%
5 Naji Marshall DAL
7%
6 Nic Claxton BKN
7%
7 Dereck Lively II DAL
7%
8 Klay Thompson DAL
6%
9 Kai Jones DAL
6%
10 D'Angelo Russell BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
5%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
20%
Jumper
22%
Layup
44%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Anthony Davis DAL 25.2 11.7 3.7
2 Cam Thomas BKN 23.6 3.6 5.0
3 Naji Marshall DAL 23.5 8.1 4.8
4 Cameron Johnson BKN 20.6 5.7 4.7
5 P.J. Washington DAL 18.8 7.6 2.7
6 Klay Thompson DAL 18.0 4.2 3.2
7 Spencer Dinwiddie DAL 17.1 3.6 5.8
8 Brandon Williams DAL 16.0 3.6 3.9
9 D'Angelo Russell BKN 14.4 3.4 5.8
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 12.8 4.3 1.6
11 Keon Johnson BKN 12.4 4.0 2.5
12 Trendon Watford BKN 11.7 4.0 3.6
13 Nic Claxton BKN 11.1 9.1 3.5
14 Max Christie DAL 11.0 4.6 2.5
15 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.6 3.5 2.8
16 Dereck Lively II DAL 10.3 8.4 2.8
17 Noah Clowney BKN 9.0 3.7 1.2
18 Jaden Hardy DAL 7.9 1.7 1.5
19 Jalen Wilson BKN 7.1 2.3 1.3
20 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.8 7.0 1.9
21 Caleb Martin DAL 5.9 3.0 1.9
22 Kai Jones DAL 5.7 3.6 0.6
23 Maxwell Lewis BKN 5.0 2.1 1.0
24 Dwight Powell DAL 4.4 2.9 1.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.