BOS @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
129–116
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 34 | 30 | 38 | 27 | 129 |
| POR | 24 | 27 | 39 | 26 | 116 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
POR
44%
56%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum S | 37 | 30 | 9 | 9 |
| Sam Hauser S | 39 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| Derrick White S | 37 | 17 | 3 | 8 |
| Payton Pritchard S | 32 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| Al Horford S | 30 | 14 | 6 | 1 |
| Luke Kornet | 19 | 13 | 5 | 3 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 26 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Torrey Craig | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| JD Davison | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Payton Pritchard ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Payton Pritchard makes 25-foot three point shot (Jayson Tatum assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anfernee Simons
POR
13%
2
Shaedon Sharpe
POR
10%
3
Kristaps Porzingis
BOS
10%
4
Scoot Henderson
POR
9%
5
Deni Avdija
POR
8%
6
Jerami Grant
POR
8%
7
Donovan Clingan
POR
8%
8
Toumani Camara
POR
7%
9
Kris Murray
POR
7%
10
Derrick White
BOS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
34%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
25%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayson Tatum | BOS | 27.8 | 8.1 | 6.9 |
| 2 | Deni Avdija | POR | 23.1 | 9.0 | 5.4 |
| 3 | Anfernee Simons | POR | 22.8 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 4 | Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | 20.3 | 6.7 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Shaedon Sharpe | POR | 19.2 | 6.0 | 3.5 |
| 6 | Derrick White | BOS | 18.6 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| 7 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 15.0 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| 8 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 14.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 9 | Toumani Camara | POR | 12.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| 10 | Al Horford | BOS | 10.8 | 7.3 | 2.9 |
| 11 | Jerami Grant | POR | 10.7 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Duop Reath | POR | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 7.8 | 8.8 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Luke Kornet | BOS | 6.2 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Dalano Banton | POR | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | POR | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 5.1 | 4.8 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Jabari Walker | POR | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Matisse Thybulle | POR | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Torrey Craig | BOS | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 23 | JD Davison | BOS | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Drew Peterson | BOS | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Rayan Rupert | POR | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Justin Minaya | POR | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 28 | Bryce McGowens | POR | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.