NBA games

CLE @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
12091
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CLE28233732120
UTAH2223192791

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE away
home UTAH
55% 45%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jarrett Allen S 26 18 6 4
Donovan Mitchell S 21 16 3 4
De'Andre Hunter 22 15 6 0
Darius Garland S 26 12 7 4
Ty Jerome 20 12 3 3
Evan Mobley S 21 11 11 1
Max Strus S 18 7 3 2
Tristan Thompson 4 6 3 1
Sam Merrill 25 6 5 5
Isaac Okoro 20 6 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kyle Filipowski S 29 18 13 1
Johnny Juzang 19 12 4 2
Jordan Clarkson 23 10 3 2
Brice Sensabaugh 16 10 3 0
Collin Sexton S 26 10 0 2
Keyonte George 29 8 5 7
Walker Kessler S 31 7 13 2
Isaiah Collier S 26 7 7 6
KJ Martin 19 6 3 3
Cody Williams S 22 3 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Donovan Mitchell · Layup (2 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Donovan Mitchell makes 3-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE
17%
2 Jarrett Allen CLE
12%
3 Evan Mobley CLE
11%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
5 Isaiah Collier UTAH
9%
6 Walker Kessler UTAH
9%
7 Max Strus CLE
8%
8 Darius Garland CLE
8%
9 Cody Williams UTAH
7%
10 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
34%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE 24.6 4.7 5.8
2 Evan Mobley CLE 21.6 9.7 3.9
3 Darius Garland CLE 21.0 3.9 7.0
4 Keyonte George UTAH 20.1 4.1 5.8
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 19.7 3.7 4.5
6 Collin Sexton UTAH 18.2 3.4 5.1
7 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 14.7 6.5 2.3
8 De'Andre Hunter CLE 14.2 4.1 1.9
9 Jarrett Allen CLE 14.1 9.9 2.1
10 Ty Jerome CLE 14.0 3.1 4.0
11 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.5 4.5 6.5
12 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 13.0 3.9 2.2
13 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.9 11.2 2.4
14 Max Strus CLE 12.3 4.1 2.8
15 Johnny Juzang UTAH 11.2 3.9 1.4
16 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.1 2.6 2.1
17 Cody Williams UTAH 7.2 3.3 1.3
18 Sam Merrill CLE 6.9 2.7 1.3
19 Isaac Okoro CLE 6.3 2.0 1.2
20 KJ Martin UTAH 6.1 3.0 1.3
21 Dean Wade CLE 5.9 3.0 1.1
22 Micah Potter UTAH 5.9 4.7 1.2
23 Javonte Green CLE 5.4 2.8 1.0
24 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.4 1.7 1.2
25 Jaden Springer UTAH 3.2 1.5 1.1
26 Tristan Thompson CLE 2.0 1.8 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.