NBA games

BOS @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
121–99
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BOS35252932121
UTAH2130242499

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS away
home UTAH
90% 10%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kristaps Porzingis S 25 27 10 6
Jayson Tatum S 33 26 6 6
Payton Pritchard 32 18 2 4
Sam Hauser 29 14 1 0
Derrick White S 32 11 5 4
Jrue Holiday S 23 8 2 4
Al Horford S 27 5 9 2
Luke Kornet 17 4 8 0
JD Davison 3 4 3 0
Jordan Walsh 2 4 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Collin Sexton S 36 30 2 3
Keyonte George 33 19 4 7
Johnny Juzang 22 11 2 1
Walker Kessler S 29 8 11 6
Brice Sensabaugh 13 7 4 0
Micah Potter 23 7 5 1
Isaiah Collier S 30 5 4 5
Kyle Filipowski 14 4 4 0
Cody Williams S 21 4 1 0
Svi Mykhailiuk S 19 4 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Collin Sexton · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Collin Sexton makes 10-foot two point shot (Walker Kessler assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Collin Sexton UTAH
12%
2 Kristaps Porzingis BOS
11%
3 Isaiah Collier UTAH
9%
4 Walker Kessler UTAH
9%
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
9%
6 Derrick White BOS
9%
7 Jrue Holiday BOS
8%
8 Drew Peterson BOS
7%
9 Cody Williams UTAH
7%
10 Al Horford BOS
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
13%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
34%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jayson Tatum BOS 29.5 8.8 7.3
2 Derrick White BOS 19.9 4.3 5.3
3 Kristaps Porzingis BOS 19.6 6.6 2.2
4 Keyonte George UTAH 19.3 4.3 5.4
5 Collin Sexton UTAH 17.4 3.3 4.8
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 15.3 6.5 2.2
7 Payton Pritchard BOS 14.6 3.4 2.7
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.1 4.2 6.0
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.1 10.3 2.0
10 Jrue Holiday BOS 12.0 4.3 4.2
11 Al Horford BOS 11.5 6.9 3.1
12 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 11.1 3.5 2.0
13 Johnny Juzang UTAH 10.5 3.6 1.3
14 Sam Hauser BOS 8.6 3.4 1.1
15 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.0 2.4 1.9
16 Cody Williams UTAH 6.9 2.9 1.3
17 Luke Kornet BOS 6.2 5.3 1.4
18 Micah Potter UTAH 5.7 4.3 1.2
19 Neemias Queta BOS 5.0 5.0 1.0
20 Torrey Craig BOS 4.3 2.3 0.8
21 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.1 2.0 0.9
22 Baylor Scheierman BOS 4.0 1.6 1.0
23 JD Davison BOS 3.2 0.9 0.7
24 Jaden Springer UTAH 2.8 1.2 1.0
25 Drew Peterson BOS 2.5 1.2 0.8
26 Jordan Walsh BOS 2.1 1.4 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.