NBA games

PHI @ SA

NBA Frost Bank Center ·Final
120–128
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI26264325120
SA28362737128

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SA) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home SA
30% 70%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Justin Edwards S 38 25 5 2
Quentin Grimes S 35 25 2 10
Guerschon Yabusele S 38 23 9 5
Ricky Council IV 24 20 8 1
Oshae Brissett 17 9 1 0
Chuma Okeke S 31 7 3 3
Jared Butler S 28 5 3 4
Jalen Hood-Schifino 19 3 1 4
Lonnie Walker IV 11 3 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jeremy Sochan S 35 23 9 2
Devin Vassell S 37 20 5 7
Keldon Johnson 26 18 5 3
Chris Paul S 26 18 4 3
Stephon Castle S 35 17 5 14
Harrison Barnes S 31 14 0 3
Blake Wesley 19 10 0 3
Julian Champagnie 17 6 2 0
Sandro Mamukelashvili 13 2 4 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jeremy Sochan · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Jeremy Sochan makes 2-foot dunk (Stephon Castle assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
10%
2 Quentin Grimes PHI
9%
3 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
9%
4 Harrison Barnes SA
7%
5 Adem Bona PHI
7%
6 Stephon Castle SA
7%
7 Devin Vassell SA
7%
8 Jeremy Sochan SA
7%
9 Lonnie Walker IV PHI
6%
10 Justin Edwards PHI
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
42%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Quentin Grimes PHI 27.5 5.2 6.4
2 Stephon Castle SA 23.6 4.8 4.7
3 Tyrese Maxey PHI 20.6 3.1 6.3
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 19.1 4.2 2.1
5 Devin Vassell SA 19.1 5.6 3.7
6 Keldon Johnson SA 14.7 5.9 2.4
7 Harrison Barnes SA 14.2 3.5 1.8
8 Jeremy Sochan SA 13.6 5.9 2.7
9 Justin Edwards PHI 11.9 3.3 1.9
10 Jared Butler PHI 11.6 3.1 5.1
11 Oshae Brissett PHI 11.2 4.3 1.6
12 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 10.4 4.8 2.3
13 Ricky Council IV PHI 9.7 3.5 1.7
14 Chris Paul SA 9.5 3.2 6.5
15 Lonnie Walker IV PHI 9.1 2.8 1.8
16 Sandro Mamukelashvili SA 8.0 3.3 1.2
17 Julian Champagnie SA 7.2 3.0 1.9
18 Jalen Hood-Schifino PHI 7.1 2.4 2.6
19 Adem Bona PHI 6.6 5.4 0.7
20 Bismack Biyombo SA 6.1 5.1 1.5
21 Chuma Okeke PHI 4.6 2.9 0.9
22 Blake Wesley SA 4.3 1.7 2.0
23 Jordan McLaughlin SA 2.2 0.7 0.9
24 Malaki Branham SA 2.1 0.8 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.