NO @ MIN
NBA
Target Center
·Final
93–134
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 22 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 93 |
| MIN | 28 | 34 | 35 | 37 | 134 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIN) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
MIN
24%
76%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum S | 28 | 15 | 2 | 3 |
| Bruce Brown S | 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 |
| Antonio Reeves | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelly Olynyk S | 22 | 10 | 3 | 4 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 27 | 10 | 5 | 3 |
| Jose Alvarado S | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 20 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 29 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Yves Missi S | 28 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| Keion Brooks Jr. | 22 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Bruce Brown ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:15 Q1
"Bruce Brown makes 11-foot jumper (Jose Alvarado assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anthony Edwards
MIN
14%
2
Julius Randle
MIN
13%
3
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
12%
4
Rudy Gobert
MIN
12%
5
Yves Missi
NO
12%
6
Jose Alvarado
NO
10%
7
Kelly Olynyk
NO
9%
8
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
9
Mike Conley
MIN
8%
10
Jordan Hawkins
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
4%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
79%
Jumper
6%
Layup
10%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 27.3 | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| 2 | Julius Randle | MIN | 21.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| 3 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 16.9 | 6.6 | 3.5 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 16.7 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| 5 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 15.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| 6 | Naz Reid | MIN | 14.6 | 6.8 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Kelly Olynyk | NO | 12.3 | 6.0 | 3.3 |
| 8 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 12.2 | 9.8 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Yves Missi | NO | 11.6 | 7.2 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 10.2 | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| 11 | Mike Conley | MIN | 10.2 | 2.7 | 4.1 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 9.6 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 9.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| 14 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 9.0 | 6.3 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Bruce Brown | NO | 8.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| 16 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Bones Hyland | MIN | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Jaylen Clark | MIN | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Luka Garza | MIN | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Elfrid Payton | NO | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| 23 | Rob Dillingham | MIN | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 24 | Keion Brooks Jr. | NO | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Joe Ingles | MIN | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| 26 | Josh Minott | MIN | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.