MIL @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
93–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 27 | 17 | 32 | 17 | 93 |
| GS | 32 | 26 | 20 | 26 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
GS
35%
65%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma S | 37 | 22 | 2 | 2 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 39 | 20 | 9 | 7 |
| Brook Lopez S | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 |
| Damian Lillard S | 38 | 16 | 3 | 4 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Taurean Prince S | 32 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| AJ Green | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan Rollins | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Quinten Post ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Quinten Post makes 26-foot three point jumper (Moses Moody assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
17%
2
Jimmy Butler III
GS
12%
3
Damian Lillard
MIL
10%
4
Brandin Podziemski
GS
10%
5
Kyle Kuzma
MIL
9%
6
Draymond Green
GS
8%
7
Brook Lopez
MIL
7%
8
Moses Moody
GS
7%
9
Taurean Prince
MIL
7%
10
Quinten Post
GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
0%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
58%
Jumper
13%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 28.2 | 12.3 | 6.8 |
| 2 | Stephen Curry | GS | 25.8 | 4.5 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 22.7 | 4.8 | 6.0 |
| 4 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 21.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 |
| 5 | Jimmy Butler III | GS | 16.9 | 5.8 | 6.2 |
| 6 | Draymond Green | GS | 13.5 | 6.9 | 6.2 |
| 7 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 13.1 | 5.6 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 12.5 | 6.0 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 12.5 | 4.7 | 3.0 |
| 10 | Moses Moody | GS | 11.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Gary Payton II | GS | 11.2 | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 10.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 13 | Kevin Porter Jr. | MIL | 10.2 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 14 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 9.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Buddy Hield | GS | 9.0 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 16 | Quinten Post | GS | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Gui Santos | GS | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| 18 | AJ Green | MIL | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| 19 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Tyler Smith | MIL | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Kevin Knox II | GS | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Pat Spencer | GS | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Pete Nance | MIL | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 28 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.