NBA games

LAC @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
120–116
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q5T
LAC2628322212120
UTAH332735138116

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home UTAH
52% 48%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Norman Powell S 46 41 3 1
James Harden S 49 32 10 7
Ben Simmons 27 12 7 6
Ivica Zubac S 25 10 8 0
Derrick Jones Jr. S 23 8 2 0
Bogdan Bogdanovic 23 7 1 2
Nicolas Batum 30 6 5 0
Kris Dunn S 38 4 7 6
Kobe Brown 4 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 38 20 6 1
Kyle Filipowski S 37 20 10 0
John Collins S 41 17 7 1
Isaiah Collier S 32 16 4 8
Keyonte George 37 13 4 9
Brice Sensabaugh 12 10 1 2
Johnny Juzang 12 8 3 1
Svi Mykhailiuk S 28 7 3 1
Micah Potter 13 3 9 0
Cody Williams 16 2 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
John Collins · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:52 Q1
"John Collins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Collier assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 James Harden LAC
14%
2 Ivica Zubac LAC
13%
3 John Collins UTAH
12%
4 Norman Powell LAC
11%
5 Walker Kessler UTAH
10%
6 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
10%
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH
8%
8 KJ Martin UTAH
8%
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
7%
10 Kris Dunn LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
22%
Layup
37%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Norman Powell LAC 23.7 4.2 3.3
2 James Harden LAC 23.1 5.5 10.2
3 Keyonte George UTAH 19.9 4.2 6.3
4 John Collins UTAH 19.4 8.8 1.9
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 17.3 5.8 1.6
6 Ivica Zubac LAC 17.1 12.0 3.3
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 14.6 5.2 8.8
8 Walker Kessler UTAH 13.0 11.8 1.9
9 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 11.8 4.6 1.5
10 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 11.2 3.4 2.1
11 KJ Martin UTAH 9.8 3.9 1.3
12 Bogdan Bogdanovic LAC 9.5 2.6 1.8
13 Ben Simmons LAC 8.4 4.7 6.6
14 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.3 3.0 1.2
15 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.9 4.1 1.8
16 Cody Williams UTAH 6.7 2.2 1.7
17 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 5.8 1.9 1.0
18 Kris Dunn LAC 5.6 3.0 3.0
19 Micah Potter UTAH 5.5 3.2 0.8
20 Patty Mills LAC 4.8 1.4 1.1
21 Nicolas Batum LAC 4.6 2.9 1.0
22 Kobe Brown LAC 3.5 2.4 1.0
23 Kai Jones LAC 3.3 2.2 0.6
24 MarJon Beauchamp LAC 3.3 1.7 0.9
25 Cam Christie LAC 3.3 1.6 0.7
26 Jordan Miller LAC 2.7 1.3 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.