WSH @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
97–112
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 24 | 25 | 21 | 27 | 97 |
| POR | 31 | 28 | 30 | 23 | 112 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH
away
home
POR
48%
52%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr S | 22 | 20 | 4 | 3 |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 |
| Jaylen Martin | 28 | 11 | 6 | 3 |
| Kyshawn George S | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Jordan Poole S | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| AJ Johnson S | 35 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Anthony Gill | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Justin Champagnie | 19 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Khris Middleton S | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Bub Carrington | 25 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Khris Middleton ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:25 Q1
"Khris Middleton makes 11-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Deandre Ayton
POR
12%
2
Shaedon Sharpe
POR
10%
3
Anfernee Simons
POR
10%
4
Deni Avdija
POR
9%
5
Alex Sarr
WSH
9%
6
Donovan Clingan
POR
8%
7
Jerami Grant
POR
8%
8
Jordan Poole
WSH
7%
9
Toumani Camara
POR
7%
10
Kyshawn George
WSH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
30%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anfernee Simons | POR | 23.7 | 3.6 | 4.7 |
| 2 | Jordan Poole | WSH | 23.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Shaedon Sharpe | POR | 23.0 | 6.4 | 4.1 |
| 4 | Deni Avdija | POR | 22.4 | 8.5 | 5.5 |
| 5 | Deandre Ayton | POR | 18.6 | 11.6 | 2.5 |
| 6 | Alex Sarr | WSH | 17.1 | 6.7 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 17.1 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| 8 | Toumani Camara | POR | 14.0 | 5.1 | 3.0 |
| 9 | Jerami Grant | POR | 13.1 | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| 10 | Kyshawn George | WSH | 12.9 | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| 11 | Khris Middleton | WSH | 12.6 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| 12 | Bub Carrington | WSH | 11.6 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| 13 | Richaun Holmes | WSH | 10.4 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| 14 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 8.6 | 9.7 | 2.1 |
| 15 | Justin Champagnie | WSH | 8.3 | 6.7 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Tristan Vukcevic | WSH | 6.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Duop Reath | POR | 6.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Kris Murray | POR | 5.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Robert Williams III | POR | 4.6 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Dalano Banton | POR | 4.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 21 | AJ Johnson | WSH | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 22 | Jaylen Martin | WSH | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Anthony Gill | WSH | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Colby Jones | WSH | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Bryce McGowens | POR | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Justin Minaya | POR | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.