NBA games

CHI @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
111–97
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHI31233225111
UTAH2231251997

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI away
home UTAH
68% 32%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Coby White S 35 26 3 4
Tre Jones S 34 18 4 12
Matas Buzelis S 30 17 9 2
Kevin Huerter S 36 17 9 2
Dalen Terry 15 12 3 1
Nikola Vucevic S 31 10 10 4
Julian Phillips 16 5 1 1
Patrick Williams 20 5 6 2
Talen Horton-Tucker 6 1 1 0
Zach Collins 17 0 3 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George 27 16 2 2
Lauri Markkanen S 24 16 2 1
Jordan Clarkson 22 14 3 3
Brice Sensabaugh 20 13 6 1
Isaiah Collier S 26 8 6 8
Kyle Filipowski 24 8 5 1
Johnny Juzang 16 8 2 0
Walker Kessler S 31 7 12 1
Cody Williams S 27 5 3 2
Micah Potter S 23 2 7 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kevin Huerter · Layup (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Kevin Huerter makes 3-foot layup (Coby White assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Coby White CHI
15%
2 Walker Kessler UTAH
12%
3 Kevin Huerter CHI
12%
4 Isaiah Collier UTAH
11%
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
11%
6 Matas Buzelis CHI
10%
7 Nikola Vucevic CHI
10%
8 Tre Jones CHI
9%
9 Cody Williams UTAH
9%
10 Keyonte George UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
45%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Coby White CHI 25.9 5.2 4.4
2 Keyonte George UTAH 18.8 4.2 5.3
3 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 18.6 3.4 4.1
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 17.5 5.3 1.6
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 16.9 8.2 3.0
6 Nikola Vucevic CHI 14.9 8.7 2.8
7 Zach Collins CHI 14.6 9.0 3.1
8 Kevin Huerter CHI 13.9 3.2 2.7
9 Tre Jones CHI 13.9 4.3 5.4
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 13.7 3.7 2.5
11 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.5 4.2 6.9
12 Matas Buzelis CHI 13.1 4.8 2.6
13 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.7 12.3 2.2
14 Johnny Juzang UTAH 9.9 3.8 1.3
15 Patrick Williams CHI 8.3 3.7 1.5
16 Cody Williams UTAH 7.3 2.8 1.4
17 Jalen Smith CHI 6.7 5.1 1.3
18 Julian Phillips CHI 6.1 2.9 1.2
19 Dalen Terry CHI 5.1 1.9 1.5
20 Micah Potter UTAH 4.9 3.6 0.8
21 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.4 2.1 1.0
22 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 3.7 5.5 0.4
23 Jevon Carter CHI 3.5 1.1 1.4
24 Talen Horton-Tucker CHI 3.3 1.5 1.0

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.