NBA games

PHI @ DAL

NBA American Airlines Center ·Final
130–125
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI36283432130
DAL32361839125

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home DAL
48% 52%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Quentin Grimes S 32 28 2 6
Jalen Hood-Schifino 23 19 2 1
Guerschon Yabusele S 29 14 6 1
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 20 14 3 3
Oshae Brissett 25 13 5 1
Ricky Council IV S 28 13 10 0
Justin Edwards S 21 10 4 0
Jared Butler S 28 8 1 7
Alex Reese 17 6 2 1
Chuma Okeke 16 5 4 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
P.J. Washington S 32 29 12 2
Klay Thompson S 35 21 3 2
Naji Marshall S 36 21 8 6
Spencer Dinwiddie 36 18 4 7
Max Christie 30 18 8 3
Brandon Williams S 32 11 2 2
Kessler Edwards S 27 5 7 1
Dwight Powell 13 2 1 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
P.J. Washington · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"P.J. Washington makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
9%
2 Quentin Grimes PHI
8%
3 Naji Marshall DAL
8%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
8%
5 P.J. Washington DAL
8%
6 Dereck Lively II DAL
8%
7 Daniel Gafford DAL
7%
8 Dwight Powell DAL
6%
9 Justin Edwards PHI
6%
10 Ricky Council IV PHI
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
42%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Quentin Grimes PHI 23.2 5.0 4.4
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 21.1 3.3 6.1
3 Naji Marshall DAL 20.8 7.5 4.8
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 20.3 4.7 2.3
5 Klay Thompson DAL 18.0 4.4 3.1
6 P.J. Washington DAL 16.7 8.8 3.2
7 Daniel Gafford DAL 14.1 10.4 2.5
8 Brandon Williams DAL 14.0 3.4 4.0
9 Spencer Dinwiddie DAL 13.5 3.2 3.9
10 Dereck Lively II DAL 10.7 8.8 3.0
11 Kessler Edwards DAL 10.5 4.7 1.7
12 Max Christie DAL 10.4 3.5 3.2
13 Justin Edwards PHI 9.8 3.3 1.7
14 Jared Butler PHI 9.4 3.2 4.9
15 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 9.4 2.8 2.1
16 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 8.9 5.5 2.0
17 Caleb Martin DAL 7.8 3.7 2.4
18 Ricky Council IV PHI 7.6 2.9 1.6
19 Jalen Hood-Schifino PHI 6.1 2.6 3.0
20 Dwight Powell DAL 5.3 4.0 1.4
21 Jaden Hardy DAL 4.9 1.2 1.0
22 Alex Reese PHI 4.3 3.4 0.8
23 Chuma Okeke PHI 2.7 1.1 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.