NBA games

UTAH @ MEM

NBA FedExForum ·Final
115–122
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH24263629115
MEM30342632122

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MEM) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home MEM
23% 77%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
John Collins S 28 22 7 0
Collin Sexton S 30 22 8 7
Lauri Markkanen S 28 14 6 0
Jordan Clarkson 24 12 4 2
Brice Sensabaugh 17 11 3 1
Isaiah Collier S 28 11 4 6
Walker Kessler S 29 9 14 5
Kyle Filipowski 16 9 8 3
Cody Williams 27 5 6 0
KJ Martin 12 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Luke Kennard 31 30 4 1
Ja Morant S 31 28 1 7
Desmond Bane S 33 17 5 9
Scotty Pippen Jr. 26 11 0 6
GG Jackson S 17 8 4 0
Zach Edey S 20 8 4 0
Brandon Clarke 19 8 4 1
Jay Huff 9 5 4 1
Jaylen Wells S 24 3 4 2
Vince Williams Jr. 17 2 3 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Isaiah Collier · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Isaiah Collier makes 25-foot three pointer"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ja Morant MEM
12%
2 Desmond Bane MEM
11%
3 John Collins UTAH
11%
4 Collin Sexton UTAH
8%
5 Walker Kessler UTAH
8%
6 Jaylen Wells MEM
7%
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH
6%
8 Zach Edey MEM
6%
9 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
6%
10 Vince Williams Jr. MEM
5%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
27%
Jumper
35%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Ja Morant MEM 27.9 4.3 8.2
2 Desmond Bane MEM 24.0 7.8 6.4
3 John Collins UTAH 22.8 7.9 1.8
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 20.3 3.2 5.4
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 17.4 3.0 3.9
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 16.8 7.2 3.1
7 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 16.7 5.5 1.4
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 15.0 3.6 2.7
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 14.0 12.4 2.2
10 Isaiah Collier UTAH 12.3 3.5 6.8
11 Jaylen Wells MEM 10.4 3.8 2.1
12 Luke Kennard MEM 10.0 2.5 3.6
13 KJ Martin UTAH 9.7 4.0 1.6
14 Vince Williams Jr. MEM 9.3 3.5 1.9
15 Brandon Clarke MEM 9.0 6.2 1.4
16 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.9 3.5 1.0
17 Zach Edey MEM 8.9 9.0 1.2
18 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.3 2.7 2.3
19 Scotty Pippen Jr. MEM 7.6 3.1 2.9
20 Cody Williams UTAH 7.5 2.9 1.6
21 GG Jackson MEM 6.4 2.6 1.5
22 Marvin Bagley III MEM 6.2 3.8 0.9
23 Lamar Stevens MEM 4.6 2.9 1.0
24 Cam Spencer MEM 4.5 1.8 1.1
25 Jay Huff MEM 3.8 1.7 0.8
26 John Konchar MEM 2.9 1.6 0.8
27 Jaden Springer UTAH 2.7 1.3 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.