CHI @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
125–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 33 | 36 | 27 | 29 | 125 |
| ORL | 35 | 31 | 35 | 22 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
ORL
43%
57%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby White S | 37 | 44 | 5 | 1 |
| Tre Jones S | 30 | 20 | 5 | 4 |
| Josh Giddey S | 39 | 19 | 13 | 9 |
| Kevin Huerter | 25 | 13 | 5 | 3 |
| Matas Buzelis S | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| Dalen Terry | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Julian Phillips | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Smith | 26 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| Zach Collins S | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Zach Collins ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:09 Q1
"Zach Collins makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Paolo Banchero
ORL
13%
2
Franz Wagner
ORL
11%
3
Josh Giddey
CHI
10%
4
Coby White
CHI
8%
5
Matas Buzelis
CHI
8%
6
Tre Jones
CHI
8%
7
Dalen Terry
CHI
7%
8
Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL
7%
9
Cole Anthony
ORL
7%
10
Cory Joseph
ORL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
65%
Jumper
19%
Layup
9%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 28.3 | 6.7 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Franz Wagner | ORL | 26.3 | 6.3 | 4.2 |
| 3 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 20.3 | 7.8 | 6.1 |
| 4 | Coby White | CHI | 18.7 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| 5 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 13.1 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| 6 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 10.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 10.6 | 8.3 | 2.2 |
| 8 | Zach Collins | CHI | 10.5 | 6.7 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Anthony Black | ORL | 9.8 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 10 | Tre Jones | CHI | 8.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 11 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 7.9 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 12 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | ORL | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 13 | Kevin Huerter | CHI | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| 15 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Talen Horton-Tucker | CHI | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 5.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 |
| 19 | Jett Howard | ORL | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 4.6 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Jahmir Young | CHI | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Mac McClung | ORL | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Emanuel Miller | CHI | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Cory Joseph | ORL | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 26 | E.J. Liddell | CHI | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 27 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 28 | Gary Harris | ORL | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.