NBA games

BKN @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
104–109
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN29342318104
CLE26242831109

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home CLE
13% 87%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 32 27 1 3
Cameron Johnson S 28 17 5 5
Ziaire Williams S 30 14 6 3
Noah Clowney 17 12 1 1
Nic Claxton S 29 9 4 4
Jalen Wilson 15 9 0 3
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 8 7 2
Tyrese Martin 21 5 2 2
Trendon Watford 20 2 5 6
Keon Johnson S 29 1 7 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Darius Garland S 36 30 4 8
Jarrett Allen S 34 23 13 1
Evan Mobley S 34 21 9 6
Max Strus S 31 10 5 4
Craig Porter Jr. 14 7 4 3
Isaac Okoro S 33 6 5 0
Sam Merrill 27 6 6 0
Javonte Green 6 3 1 0
Dean Wade 24 3 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Darius Garland · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Darius Garland makes 23-foot three point jumper (Evan Mobley assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Evan Mobley CLE
12%
2 Darius Garland CLE
11%
3 Cameron Johnson BKN
11%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
5 Jarrett Allen CLE
10%
6 Cam Thomas BKN
10%
7 Max Strus CLE
10%
8 Ziaire Williams BKN
8%
9 Keon Johnson BKN
8%
10 D'Angelo Russell BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
15%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
29%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 22.2 3.7 4.3
2 Evan Mobley CLE 19.8 9.5 3.6
3 Cameron Johnson BKN 18.5 4.4 3.7
4 Darius Garland CLE 16.8 3.0 6.4
5 Jarrett Allen CLE 12.7 10.3 1.7
6 D'Angelo Russell BKN 12.3 3.0 4.4
7 Keon Johnson BKN 11.7 4.1 2.4
8 Nic Claxton BKN 11.1 7.6 3.0
9 Ziaire Williams BKN 10.9 4.6 1.4
10 Trendon Watford BKN 10.8 3.7 3.1
11 Max Strus CLE 10.0 3.9 2.7
12 Noah Clowney BKN 9.8 3.9 1.0
13 Tyrese Martin BKN 8.9 2.8 1.4
14 Jalen Wilson BKN 8.3 2.5 1.3
15 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.4 6.7 1.7
16 Sam Merrill CLE 6.2 2.4 1.1
17 Isaac Okoro CLE 6.0 2.8 1.0
18 Javonte Green CLE 5.5 3.2 1.3
19 Dean Wade CLE 5.1 2.9 1.3
20 Jaylon Tyson CLE 4.4 2.0 1.4
21 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 3.9 2.2 2.1
22 Tristan Thompson CLE 2.6 2.8 0.8
23 Maxwell Lewis BKN 1.4 0.8 0.3
24 Luke Travers CLE 1.4 1.2 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.