NBA games

UTAH @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
122–126
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH32262539122
PHI27383625126

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home PHI
46% 54%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George 33 25 6 3
Kyle Filipowski S 31 25 7 3
Johnny Juzang S 29 15 7 1
KJ Martin S 36 14 7 3
Brice Sensabaugh S 31 14 5 4
Isaiah Collier S 30 13 5 10
Micah Potter 16 9 2 0
Cody Williams 16 7 4 0
Svi Mykhailiuk 19 0 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lonnie Walker IV 34 25 11 5
Quentin Grimes S 27 25 1 6
Jared Butler 29 15 0 9
Adem Bona 32 14 15 1
Justin Edwards S 29 11 4 2
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 12 10 1 0
Ricky Council IV 21 8 3 2
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 20 6 2 2
Alex Reese 15 6 9 0
Andre Drummond S 10 6 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kyle Filipowski · Layup (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Kyle Filipowski makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
14%
2 Walker Kessler UTAH
13%
3 Quentin Grimes PHI
12%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
11%
5 Isaiah Collier UTAH
9%
6 Andre Drummond PHI
9%
7 KJ Martin UTAH
8%
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
8%
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
8%
10 Justin Edwards PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
20%
Jumper
36%
Layup
20%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 22.2 3.5 6.5
2 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 21.0 4.8 2.4
3 Quentin Grimes PHI 20.1 5.7 4.3
4 Keyonte George UTAH 18.0 4.1 6.2
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 17.8 7.5 3.2
6 Walker Kessler UTAH 15.4 12.1 2.1
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.4 3.8 7.6
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 12.1 3.1 2.0
9 Justin Edwards PHI 10.8 3.3 1.9
10 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 10.1 4.3 2.1
11 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.4 2.7 2.1
12 Andre Drummond PHI 8.6 8.3 1.8
13 KJ Martin UTAH 8.4 3.9 1.5
14 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.3 3.0 1.1
15 Lonnie Walker IV PHI 7.6 2.6 2.0
16 Cody Williams UTAH 7.5 2.7 1.6
17 Jared Butler PHI 6.8 2.3 3.0
18 Micah Potter UTAH 5.8 4.1 1.1
19 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 4.9 1.5 1.8
20 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 4.8 6.0 0.6
21 Adem Bona PHI 4.6 3.2 0.7
22 Ricky Council IV PHI 4.0 1.4 1.2
23 Alex Reese PHI 3.7 2.0 0.9
24 Jaden Springer UTAH 3.0 1.4 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.